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UnevenEdge

2022 Midterms: Oh god, not again


Master-Debater131

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4 hours ago, Master-Debater131 said:

24 hours later and the lead has expanded. Its now up 51.3% to 48.7% with 85% in.


Starting to feel a little better about this one passing.

Victory!!!!!

....maybe. The pro legalization campaign has declared victory. Its still holding a lead and we are at roughly 90% votes counted. The majority of the outstanding ballots are from Denver and Boulder areas. both of which have been supporting the issue so far.

Sure looks like we may be the first to legalize another drug. And damn is it awesome!

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11 minutes ago, rpgamer said:

I'm sure if R's just lean a little harder into fascism, they'll definitely win back some of that voting block..

Maybe it's a bit early to be optimistic, but, kinda seems like a good sign for elections to come.

Apparently a political faction that kept shitting on everyone younger than 50, denying them the opportunities they had and then making fun of them wasn’t going to support them at the polls.  Who’d have thunk it?

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In a massive turn of events nobody anywhere could of predicted Beto lost to Greg Abbott by a pretty considerable margin.. 🙄 His final numbers are still impressive as hell for a democrat running in Texas, but meh... I had no intentions of holding on to a pipe dream anyway. He still got my vote.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/08/us/politics/abbott-wins-texas-gov.html

https://www.fox4news.com/election/beto-orourke-concession-speech-im-in-this-fight-for-life

 

 

Edited by PhilosipherStoned
Might as well throw in this concession speech because the DNC wont let him flop again lol.
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16 minutes ago, Raptorpat said:

poor bby ben

 

Yes because doubling down on getting to keep the gays out of theaters is what will win votes, instead of food, safety and medicine. You could just avoid Bros like everyone else.
 

The bizarre cruelty of the hard right never ceases to amaze me.  

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Boebert is probably gonna win her seat back but I think democrats should start doing a Trump and talk about election monkey business because I have a hard time believing the people in Colorado from her district thought she did a good job and deserved to win. Her and MTG. It’s really gross that we have people  like them in our government shit like this makes me not even want democracy anymore cuz people don’t take elections seriously and vote for anything if it has a brain or doesn’t 

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3 hours ago, 1pooh4u said:

Boebert is probably gonna win her seat back but I think democrats should start doing a Trump and talk about election monkey business because I have a hard time believing the people in Colorado from her district thought she did a good job and deserved to win. Her and MTG. It’s really gross that we have people  like them in our government shit like this makes me not even want democracy anymore cuz people don’t take elections seriously and vote for anything if it has a brain or doesn’t 

It's because some folks will vote along party lines no matter what because they have been made to be so afraid of Democrats and everything the right wing as aligned them with.

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14 minutes ago, matrixman124 said:

It's because some folks will vote along party lines no matter what because they have been made to be so afraid of Democrats and everything the right wing as aligned them with.

And democrats do pretty much nothing to alleviate those fears.  The dude running against her is a moderate democrat that should be digestible considering the district and still they choose Braindead Barbie. 

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Trump just stated he sent the FBI to intervene in floridas 2018 election for the express purpose of ensuring a DeSantis win.

You know, illegal election tampering by government officials at the direct order of a former president.

https://www.newsweek.com/trump-desantis-statement-fbi-2018-florida-election-stolen-1758853

Goofy shit.

*turns out, yep, that 100% happened.

https://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/2019/01/25/andrew-gillum-fbi-investigation-timeline-adam-corey-mike-miller/2677502002/

Edited by SwimModSponges
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On 11/9/2022 at 1:20 PM, Raptorpat said:

I was told unofficially she's expected to win by about half a percentage point at a minimum, once all the mail ballots are collected.

FWIW, here's how fife-thirty-eight is quantifying this...

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2022-midterm-election/350097/

Right now it looks like she needs 55% of the remaining (mostly mail-in) vote to win in areas that she has, to this point, been doing about 60%.

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5 hours ago, SwimModSponges said:

Trump just stated he sent the FBI to intervene in floridas 2018 election for the express purpose of ensuring a DeSantis win.

You know, illegal election tampering by government officials at the direct order of a former president.

https://www.newsweek.com/trump-desantis-statement-fbi-2018-florida-election-stolen-1758853

Goofy shit.

*turns out, yep, that 100% happened.

https://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/2019/01/25/andrew-gillum-fbi-investigation-timeline-adam-corey-mike-miller/2677502002/

I am shocked that the bus etc., etc.

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38 minutes ago, SwimModSponges said:

Oh good; looks like they've got their updated talking points.

Soon we'll see jingo emerge from his burrow.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/gingrich-gop-got-nearly-6-million-more-votes-but-lost-many-races-whats-going-on_4857877.html

 

Quote

One reason Democrats could pull this off is mundane: the number of races contested by only one of the major parties. This cycle, there are about twice as many races without a Democratic candidate as without a Republican one. Democrats won’t have candidates in about two dozen races, compared with about a dozen for Republicans. No one in South Dakota or North Dakota wanted to run for the House as a Democrat, apparently.

...

A second reason is a little more serious: Democrats have the incumbency advantage in a few more of the most pivotal races than Republicans do. And the Republican advantage on the map is so flimsy — just a few seats — that this type of Democratic edge in a few races can make a difference.

...

The final factor is turnout. Black and Latino turnout tends to drop in midterm elections, especially in noncompetitive and heavily Democratic Black and Hispanic districts in noncompetitive states like California, Illinois and New York. Lower nonwhite turnout would dampen Democratic margins in the national vote compared with a presidential election, which is the usual benchmark for judging structural bias. But it would do so without hurting Democratic chances quite as much in the relatively white districts likeliest to decide control of Congress.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/11/upshot/republicans-midterms-house-analysis.html

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2 hours ago, Master-Debater131 said:

Theres no guarantee that they can organize a majority. From what it sounds like theres some very open hostility between the various factions in the GOP. Lots of people blaming each other for the total failure of a midterm.

They all need to take long looks in the mirror and STFU. They have no one to blame but themselves, they are the ones who would rather kiss the orange anus and censor anyone in their own party for daring to say 'enough is enough' than actually sit down and realize they could have ended it by saying 'enough is enough' themselves and cutting off the money flow to him two years ago. 

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9 hours ago, SwimModSponges said:

Oh good; looks like they've got their updated talking points.

Soon we'll see jingo emerge from his burrow.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/gingrich-gop-got-nearly-6-million-more-votes-but-lost-many-races-whats-going-on_4857877.html

I like how good ol' Newty is bewildered by the fact that nominating terrible batshit-insane candidates for public office makes people not want to vote for them.

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