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2024 Presidential Elections: the schadenfreude commences

NewBluntsworth

By NewBluntsworth
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Insipid Legend

Insipid

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, Jman said:

You mean the same way a two term black president broke the brains of so many?

No, not the same way, as being male is not exclusive to being white. The GOP has been getting more racial minority votes lately, mostly from men.

Trumpism is ending, but something awful is gonna replace it.

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Raptorpat
Raptorpat

https://x.com/selina_dedalus/status/1817624852276424868

little_girl_lost
little_girl_lost

Trump made his choice, he should have to carry jd vance to term.

GuyBeardmane
GuyBeardmane

Happy to see those two got out to cast their vote.

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Raptorpat Monster Mutant

Raptorpat

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That's what I was getting at in my comment last night.

The pre-Harris Trump campaign very specifically and publicly planned to micro-target minority men within the 18-34 age bracket because that's where they saw the best chance to make inroads, the platform being male aggrievement.

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katt_goddess Monster Mutant

katt_goddess

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18 hours ago, tsar4 said:

"FRYER, FRYER, FRYER"

Yeah, he's going to work 'half an hour' because that's how long he thinks real people work takes. And it's going to be making french fries.

Now taking bets as to how long it takes before he tries to pull a fry directly out of the oil with his bare hands [ if he's even allowed near anything ]. 

Dude can't even walk down a shallow ramp. He's going to be taken out by a spot of grease on a kitchen floor. 

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tsar4 Monster Mutant

tsar4

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2 hours ago, katt_goddess said:

Yeah, he's going to work 'half an hour' because that's how long he thinks real people work takes. And it's going to be making french fries.

Now taking bets as to how long it takes before he tries to pull a fry directly out of the oil with his bare hands [ if he's even allowed near anything ]. 

Dude can't even walk down a shallow ramp. He's going to be taken out by a spot of grease on a kitchen floor. 

What about "bobbing for fries"?

Maybe instead of referencing Beavis, I should have referenced Peter Griffin's "Ding - Fries are done!".

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katt_goddess Monster Mutant

katt_goddess

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38 minutes ago, tsar4 said:

What about "bobbing for fries"?

Maybe instead of referencing Beavis, I should have referenced Peter Griffin's "Ding - Fries are done!".

You assume that he has a waist to bend. Plus that's still assuming a level of sophistication that I don't think he has. He's totally going to do a toddler grab of a hot fry. And then we'll get a month of him wearing an entire package of Always Maxis on that hand and demanding a Purple Heart.

I don't think there's a 'stupid' character that you could reference that wouldn't be an upgrade of him and an insult to them. Even Stimpy could hold a job without bankrupting it. 

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SwimOdin Legend

SwimOdin

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6 hours ago, Seight said:

The one upside to being in a state that is completely in the tank for the Republicans is that basically every local political ad has been "You should either vote for or against this amendment that determines how casino licenses are given out."

I wish. It’s nooooooonstop in Atlanta. About a three to one political ad versus anything else. We’re early voting this coming week, I wish with all the algorithms we have, it would somehow stop after voting. Other than the whole gross invasion of privacy…

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Mix Monster Mutant

Mix

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This election is now a win win for me. 

Kamala wins, we get to live.

Trump wins, I get to make my sisters mad by constantly bringing up how he's undefeated against women in politics. 

(We all went together to vote early. They outnumber me so I gotta throw a grenade in the mix every now and then to keep them off balance. So, I said, "i'm going to do the right thing, you guys. But my little ol' vote isn't going to save Kamala. We really missed an opportunity with E. Jean Carroll. Should of had her replace Biden. She's the only one with a win in the ring against the champ.) :RoboLaugh:

 

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Belize Aristocrat

Belize

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I averaged 21 national Harris vs. Trump polls (without other candidates) of likely voters since the last week of September, and I got: 50% Harris 47% Trump

This excludes polls listed on the 538 "latest polls" page for 1. not being a real poll (ActiVote is a mobile app not a poll), 2. being poor quality (HarrisX has been criticized heavily by peer pollsters) or 3. being obscure with no record (no one knows what Quantus is).

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Belize Aristocrat

Belize

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There's one pollster called "Patriot Polling" that pops up on 538 and RCP from time to time. It was literally founded by a teenage hobbyist in 2022 who conducts it with his friends. 

I admire the passion, but it's not a reliable poll that belongs in an average that gets quoted in national media. 

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Belize Aristocrat

Belize

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In Georgia, a general rule is a Democrat needs to get 30% of white voters to win. It may not be enough by itself, but that's thought to be necessary. 

In 2016 exit polls, Clinton got 21%. In 2018, Abrams got 25%. In 2020, Biden got 30%. In 2022, Warnock got 29%.

 

 

Harris' percentage of white voters according to some recent polls:

TIPPS (RVs): 33%

TIPPs (LVs): 31%

InsiderAdvantage: 30%

East Carolina Univ: 30%

Emerson College: 36%

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Master-Debater131 Hero

Master-Debater131

Posted
Posted

While there's a lot of focus on the Presidential race, the Senate races are just as important. And just like the Presidential race, the GOP look good in their Senate races.  All they need to do is win 1 seat to flip the Senate if they win the WH, 2 if they want to win it outright.

Right now, the GOP are poised to pick up 2 seats. West Virginia is absolutely going to flip to the GOP, not even worth paying attention there.

Montana is where the GOP look to get their 2nd pickup. Tester has survived a lot of close races, but this one looks like hes done. Sheehy has a 7 point lead in the RCP averages, and has led in every poll since June.

Ohio is also a potential GOP pickup as well. That race is only separated by 0.5% in the RCP polls. A big GOP turnout in the Presidential election may be enough to bring Moreno over the finish line and give the GOP another pickup.

PA, WI, and MI are all also tightening up as the races come to the finish line. A GOP win at the top of the ticket might pull a Senate win for them as well.

Nevada is a long shot for the GOP, but there has been some clear momentum there for the GOP in recent weeks. Polling has tightened up, but Democrats still hold a 6 point lead. Probably enough to hold that seat, but may be one that produces a surprise on election day if trends continue.


As good as the map looks for the GOP, the Democrats are in the exact opposite spot. There are no chances for a pickup this year. They are hilariously putting resources into Texas and Florida, only for the usual Lucy with the Football result. Neither state is particularly close and at no point in these races have the polls been even within the MoE. They are solidly Republican states, and the Senate results will end up that way.

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naraku360 Monster Mutant

naraku360

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20 minutes ago, Master-Debater131 said:

While there's a lot of focus on the Presidential race, the Senate races are just as important. And just like the Presidential race, the GOP look good in their Senate races.  All they need to do is win 1 seat to flip the Senate if they win the WH, 2 if they want to win it outright.

Right now, the GOP are poised to pick up 2 seats. West Virginia is absolutely going to flip to the GOP, not even worth paying attention there.

Montana is where the GOP look to get their 2nd pickup. Tester has survived a lot of close races, but this one looks like hes done. Sheehy has a 7 point lead in the RCP averages, and has led in every poll since June.

Ohio is also a potential GOP pickup as well. That race is only separated by 0.5% in the RCP polls. A big GOP turnout in the Presidential election may be enough to bring Moreno over the finish line and give the GOP another pickup.

PA, WI, and MI are all also tightening up as the races come to the finish line. A GOP win at the top of the ticket might pull a Senate win for them as well.

Nevada is a long shot for the GOP, but there has been some clear momentum there for the GOP in recent weeks. Polling has tightened up, but Democrats still hold a 6 point lead. Probably enough to hold that seat, but may be one that produces a surprise on election day if trends continue.


As good as the map looks for the GOP, the Democrats are in the exact opposite spot. There are no chances for a pickup this year. They are hilariously putting resources into Texas and Florida, only for the usual Lucy with the Football result. Neither state is particularly close and at no point in these races have the polls been even within the MoE. They are solidly Republican states, and the Senate results will end up that way.

Glad you're predicting GOP wins.

You know, because your entire personality is being wrong about things.

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katt_goddess Monster Mutant

katt_goddess

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Texas has Lyin' & Flyin' Cruz whose bullying shit caused one of his own kids to try to commit suicide and was right there pimping for that Jan 6th mob...until he had to go run for his life too.

Florida has Slender Man who made his money overseeing the largest Medicare fraud [ over a billion, that's 'BILLION' with a B ] in history.

Montana's Sheehy was caught telling the Native population to go back where they came from. 

But yes, please, tell me how keeping literally any of those in positions of power is good for America. :| 

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1pooh4u Monster Mutant

1pooh4u

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Posted

“I’ll take whatever he gives me” is just such a classically hilarious line that perfectly describes the uneducated poor -middle class Trump voter. They give their hard earned money away not gaf about what he does to help them.  I can guarantee half those people are the type to complain about the fast food worker receiving a $15 an hour min wage salary because “they always get my order wrong and they’re rude and stupid” but Trump could shit in a bag and they’ll love it 

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Jman Super Hero

Jman

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, SwimOdin said:

A report from the front: Trump ads are going 2 to 1 during football. That’s not a good ratio for the most watched program on tv.

No it’s not.  I swear, Harris keeps reporting record fundraising then we get endless emails about shortages.

I have noticed Harris targets the prime time and Monday night games far more than Trump.

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katt_goddess Monster Mutant

katt_goddess

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1 minute ago, PenguinBoss said:

Since no one mentioned it, I just wanted to say that Trump spent time during a rally yesterday to talk about how Arnold Palmer apparently had a massive cock.

I saw that on the frickin' world news earlier. 

Then again, a Ken doll has a bigger piece than Von Shitzinpantz so take his reports with a grain of stolen McD's salt. 

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1pooh4u Monster Mutant

1pooh4u

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1 hour ago, 1pooh4u said:

Someone is flying this over MetLife 

IMG_6788.jpeg.e6fa56118aa03334d90f48fce66c4ddc.jpeg

Just an FYI it was most likely a Trumpster who ordered this to fly over MetLife. A lefty would have known the game is in Pittsburgh w rumors that Trump will be there, and they would have flew it over there. 

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1pooh4u Monster Mutant

1pooh4u

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9 hours ago, Master-Debater131 said:

Team Joy really is having a hard time with this McDonalds thing. Never seen such a large number of people get triggered by a campaign stunt before.

You remind me of how Icarus was w Nabs during the 2016 election. You really should hit him up and see what he did to get his shit together because you need help. Seriously. You live in a world of your own imagination that’s practically divorced from all reality. 

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Jman Super Hero

Jman

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Posted
35 minutes ago, 1pooh4u said:

You remind me of how Icarus was w Nabs during the 2016 election. You really should hit him up and see what he did to get his shit together because you need help. Seriously. You live in a world of your own imagination that’s practically divorced from all reality. 

At this point the Trump campaign and honestly GOP ideology is this self-propelled hate machine.  "Owning the libs" is the top priority, over environmental safety, economic safety, or even basic human decency.  Liberals can be annoying.  But the driving philosophy of these boomers is "I don't care if I'm miserable, so long as others are more miserable, and if I show enough loyalty to the Party, I'll be uplifted."

If any of them bothered to read 1984 in depth, they would understand that the key tenent of The Party is that the masses must be made to be miserable, because that's how they keep their power.  They want power and money for its own sake, and only be keeping everyone miserable can that be allowed.

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