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UnevenEdge

2024 Presidential Elections: the schadenfreude commences


NewBluntsworth

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Its not The Needle, but DDHQ has a good tracker as well. These guys are generally pretty accurate, and were one of the first groups to call Arizona for Biden 4 years ago. Data nerds doing data nerd things.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/

 

Been bouncing around for Trump in the 60s most of the nice, and spent some time at at 69% before briefly touching 70%.

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20 minutes ago, Jman said:

Florida was called for Trump.

Meanwhile - 

 

I.....didn't even know the name of Mark Robinson's opponent until just now. 

Has anyone ever tanked an election as spectacularly as Mark "the black nazi" Robinson?

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Just now, Raptorpat said:

apparently GA polling sites are being bombarded with fake bomb threats

 

Russian disenfranchisement attempts.  Georgia will allow them to vote, which means that we likely won’t have a winner tonight.

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16 minutes ago, 1pooh4u said:

I’m not feeling good about this election 

I’ve been avoiding any news whatsoever so I don’t have to think about it…

so I’m rewatching the episode of Ghosts where….

Spoiler

Issac realizes he’s gay for Nigel.

It somehow helps.

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So far it seems like Trump is running 3-5 points ahead of where the polls finished. If that holds, hes in good shape. That was the question coming into this, did the shy Trump vote?

Ohio was called for Trump, not a surprise at all. The Senate race is still too close to call.

Its snowing, and I have been summoned by the lady for some hot tub time because of that. Hottubbing in the snow is just awesome.  Trump is at 69% in DDHQ right now. Who knows what itll be when I get back.

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17 minutes ago, scoobdog said:

I’ve been avoiding any news whatsoever so I don’t have to think about it…

so I’m rewatching the episode of Ghosts where….

  Reveal hidden contents

Issac realizes he’s gay for Nigel.

It somehow helps.

I’m not really watching anything kinda listening to The New Detectives but I stopped watching news cuz polls in my area only closed 13 minutes ago and a huge part of the country is 3 hours behind so I’ll probably just start watching Archer soon or some bullshit like that.  Maybe watch one of 3 winning Jets games 🫠😆🫠

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Yeah, victory isn’t being declared tonight because of those extended polling hours.  Doesn’t make me feel any less ill though.

And I have practice in the morning so I can’t drink.

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Like I said, Democrats were going to chace the football in Texas just for it to be pulled away again. This was absolutely obvious for people who really stepped back and looked at things.

 

DDHQ is giving the GOP a 97% chance of winning the Senate now, and they are also thinking it will be 53-47. Just like I had predicted.

In the House, its roughly 55% the GOP hold that as well. They have flipped 3 seats so far tonight.

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While we still wait on votes, one thing that absolutely must be said is that Florida has set the gold standard for elections. Im not talking results, Im talking how they are run.

Florida is one of our larger states and is in 2 time zones, it took nearly 90 minutes to count 10 million votes.  They were a joke for the "hanging chads" and now are the gold standard for elections.

That is how elections absolutely need to be done. There is no real excuse in the modern age for votes to take days to collect. You can say what you want about them, but their elections are secure and quickly tabulated. No reason the rest of the country cant follow that model.

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2 minutes ago, Mix said:

Who the hell thought she was going to win Iowa?

Alright, I'm going to bed, fuck this.

There was a poll saying such.

It looks like the usual swing states need to do their thing, but screw staying up til 2am.

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36 minutes ago, Master-Debater131 said:

 

Now this one is just absolutely remarkable.  Among people who said that Democracy was their #1 issue this election, Trump won by 7 points.

That's not what that says.

It looks like those are saying 59% feel democracy is secure under Harris, and 53% feel threatened by Trump.

Edited by naraku360
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Yeah I am definitely disappointed rn I’m just shutting everything off for now. Nothing I can do about it. I can only hope my life and the lives of the people I care about don’t change too much but that’s a pipe dream considering the house and senate will be ran by crazy town 

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A paradigm shift is indeed happening. It is not wise to call the GOP the party of racists when it managed to gain a huge proportion of the Latino vote this time, despite all of Trump's rhetoric against Hispanics. Many more LGBT people voted Republican this time too.

Sigh, it's not over yet.

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56 minutes ago, Master-Debater131 said:

DDHQ called Georgia for Trump.

 

 

Trump currently sits at 242 EC votes according to DDHQ

No one else has called this one. 
 

Both sides seem to confirm that the swing states won’t finish tonight, so I really need to shut off my constant updates.  Harris HQ seems to be focused on the Blue Wall.

Edited by Jman
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3 minutes ago, Jman said:

No one else has called this one. 
 

Both sides seem to confirm that the swing states won’t finish tonight, so I really need to shut off my constant updates.  Harris HQ seems to be focused on the Blue Wall.

NYT has it as a Trump pickup as well. Its not called, but its absolutely clear that Trump is going to win Georgia.

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26 minutes ago, Insipid said:

A paradigm shift is indeed happening. It is not wise to call the GOP the party of racists when it managed to gain a huge proportion of the Latino vote this time, despite all of Trump's rhetoric against Hispanics. Many more LGBT people voted Republican this time too.

Sigh, it's not over yet.

So multiple groups of people voting directly against their own self-interests for...what exactly?

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14 minutes ago, Top Gun said:

So multiple groups of people voting directly against their own self-interests for...what exactly?

Working class people across race and with less than a college education are buying into the messaging, despite the racism.

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Well, this is a catastrophe. Unless a miracle occurs, a second Trump term is going to be an existential threat to the United States. There is no sugarcoating about it. I doubt whether the USA survives it. 

With that in mind, I will need time to process this fatalism. Like 2016, I adjusted my whole life and career because of it. 

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9 minutes ago, Belize said:

Well, this is a catastrophe. Unless a miracle occurs, a second Trump term is going to be an existential threat to the United States. There is no sugarcoating about it. I doubt whether the USA survives it. 

With that in mind, I will need time to process this fatalism. Like 2016, I adjusted my whole life and career because of it. 

 

The Blue Wall may hold, which would actually have MD’s EC prediction right on the money where Harris ekes it out.

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