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UnevenEdge

Raptorpat

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Everything posted by Raptorpat

  1. Raptorpat
    you know what that means, right?
  2. Raptorpat
    you've certainly missed a lot. just in terms of big elections, that's the end of 2016, the roy moore special/bucket meltdown extreme, 2018, 2020, 2022. by my math, asmb was around for 13 years and uemb is already at six and a half years.
  3. Raptorpat
    Things might get a little weird. https://twitter.com/UN/status/1642014674840346625
  4. Raptorpat
    I have a thing about the sensation of wet hair touching other surfaces (other than like when drying off with a towel), just gives me the heebie jeebies. So by the time my hair is dry enough, it's irrelevant.
  5. Raptorpat
    i'm a morning showerer
  6. Raptorpat
    https://twitter.com/MattBinder/status/1641896713983086620?s=20
  7. Raptorpat
    Inflation wasn't determinative in 2022 and the other issues that competed with it (eg. abortion and extremism) remain factors. But when inflation/economics is determinative it is because of the trend (are we going up or down?) and not the real inflation of the moment. That it's easing is probably enough to neutralize it (and again, it wasn't determinative in 2022). This is true. But as 2022 showed, the GOP preaching to the choir via friendly media outlets created a disproportionate echo chamber. And 2022 showed that independents weren't buying into it (independents nearly handed Dems the House, if only more actual Dem voters hadn't stayed home). I don't see Trump changing from that trajectory and given all we've seen from the Dominion case, I don't see conservative media focusing on improving their credibility and broadening their viewership so much as they are continuing to wage war over their existing (also shrinking) audience base.
  8. Raptorpat
    It's too premature to speculate, given we don't even know what any of the details are yet, but I'ma say my mindset is that it improves his odds of winning the primary (as long as he's not convicted first) because even his adversaries feel compelled to circle the wagons. But I think it increases the odds that he loses a general (should he get that far), and by higher margins. Biden's mediocre numbers have been fairly stable and independents probably won't buy the claim that it's a pure political witch hunt with no merit and it'll be 2022 redux. ALL THAT BEING SAID, any of this could or will change based on what comes out Tuesday.
  9. Raptorpat
    Tuesday is the day: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-31/trump-to-be-arraigned-in-ny-case-in-manhattan-on-tuesday-at-2-15
  10. Raptorpat
    op-ed http://os-op-disney-desantis-reedy-creek-scott-maxwell-20230331-fvg7sd32krhkvlwofyj42wvfhi-story.html
  11. Raptorpat
    https://twitter.com/brenonade/status/1641596015940718593
  12. Raptorpat
    Ron says he's not cooperating with any extradition. https://twitter.com/GovRonDeSantis/status/1641575007552778243?s=20
  13. Raptorpat
    MEANWHILE https://twitter.com/StormyDaniels/status/1641586707853082624?s=20
  14. Raptorpat
    https://twitter.com/ManhattanDA/status/1641579988360019968?s=20
  15. Raptorpat
    https://twitter.com/oneunderscore__/status/1641569090744582145?s=20
  16. Raptorpat
    https://twitter.com/oneunderscore__/status/1641571062172340225?s=20
  17. Raptorpat

    Pokémon Go

    Raptorpat replied to 1pooh4u's topic in Games

    https://www.polygon.com/23663732/pokemon-go-remote-raid-pass-price-increase-daily-limit
  18. Raptorpat
    https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1641553740787331073?s=20
  19. Raptorpat
    Here is the article, it's pretty hilarious. https://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/os-ne-disney-new-reedy-creek-board-powerless-20230329-qalagcs4wjfe3iwkpzjsz2v4qm-story.html
  20. Raptorpat
    That's what I said!
  21. Raptorpat
    https://www.platformer.news/p/the-secret-list-of-twitter-vips-getting
  22. Raptorpat
    The leadership vote this cycle was 37-10, but the number is realistically skewed because the people really playing the game aren't going to take a swing at the king if they don't think they can go for the kill. If McConnell retired or dropped dead and it was an open contest, I think that 10 would be joined by a few more "I was on board with McConnell (because I cherish my committee assignments) but now is the time for a change" folks.
  23. Raptorpat
    Thune and Barrasso are technically second and third in line, but that doesn't mean anything (Schumer was third before leapfrogging to leader after Reid retired). But I feel like the conference will pivot to the maga side for the next guy, though that depends on a lot of things including the next election cycle.
  24. Raptorpat
    At Thanksgiving dinner, who starts the fight first? Is it pringleman or Mr monopoly?
  25. Raptorpat
    https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1640502698549075972?s=20
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