Raptorpat

yeah now that it's almost halloween everything is ascary

i am alright hi ghostrek

The problem is that there are two types of states: elastic states with a lot of voters who flip back and forth from election to election polarized states where voters always back their side 100% of the time New Hampshire is a competitive "elastic" state, where a lot of people flip back and forth based on the national mood and candidate quality. That the GOP couldn't find a quality candidate basically took that state of the map. GA is a competitive 50/50 "polarized" state. Unlike NH, there is no convincing to do beyond convincing your own base to turn out. I recall Brad Raffensperger testified something along the lines that what pushed Biden over the edge (after the high Dem turnout) wasn't GOP-Biden voters, it was that 30K Republicans who voted left the top line blank. So to that end, this isn't going to swing votes, it's a question of whether those 30K are going to leave this line blank too.

I don't think the challenge for Warnock is necessarily to win on election night. His real challenge is to clear 50%+1 to avoid a run off, though the future circumstances of a hypothetical run off would affect who it benefits.

his "October surprise" is literally "he kills puppies"

wow that is absolute trash

Presidents and Congressional Leaders don't communicate legal strategy to SCOTUS, they just confirm people who they know will vote their way on specific issues.

NEVR FORGET

Happy birthday @scoobdogand @Stonergoth187! hope you guys do fun things, etc.

It's just the oral arguments, people won't pay attention until the decisions are released in like June.

what the god damn heck

Impeachment is the correct answer. Their decisions will always be subject to appellate review, and I'm sure there are plenty of informal ways to pressure judges to step down voluntarily (like Breyer definitely didn't retire on his own).

My understanding is that what makes Lyman key is that it was the fallback position for regrouping after the northern offensive, and Russian commanders basically abandoned their guys there. So if Ukraine surrounds them and they surrender, yes Ukraine liberates the city but more strategically it knocks out a lot of Russia's fighting capacity in the north.

merged for your viewing pleasure

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-still-do-not-show-a-gop-bounce-back/

The assumption that if Hannity and now Kushner are attacking him in this, Trump wants to knock DeSantis down a peg because he intends on running.

happy birthday country frylock

FL and TX passed laws declaring social media platforms as common carriers and prohibiting content 'censorship'. The platforms sued and the two circuit courts went different ways, creating a 'circuit split' which can only be resolved by SCOTUS. Meanwhile, blue states are requiring those same platforms to have anti-discrimination and anti-hate speech procedures, which is the opposite of censorship. The best result would probably just be Facebook to come out and say 'social media was a mistake and we're shutting everything down.'