Raptorpat

welcome to the next two years everyone!

Nancy Pelosi not running for leadership. Even though she promised after 2018 to only serve two more terms as leader, I bet what made her decision for her was the hammer attack on her husband and the Republican reaction to it.

for senate GOP leader

You criticize the investigations while hoping they effectively sideline Trump.

I don't even get what he means, is he alleging fraud or...?

The partisan answer would be that the most important vote any legislator makes is for leader to run the chamber and that everything else they do is secondary. Come 2024, Manchin, Tester, and Brown are all up for reelection in Trump-won states, and there are several in tossup states (NV, AZ, and through the rust belt). If Warnock wins in the Georgia run-off for 51 seats, they can only net-lose one Senate seat and retain the majority (assuming Biden wins too) after 2024. It's very possible that both chambers could flip in opposite directions.

Its probably a pressure thing for when the crazy wing tries to leverage concessions out of McCarthy, moreso than to be taken literally.

NY was a wombo-combo of court-ordered redistricting plus the state party just like sitting on its hands, which together cost the national Democrats control of the House. As much as partisans bitch about maps drawn by an out-of-state special master appointed by a Republican judge, all five of the competitive seats were at least slightly D-leaning. But the state party did nothing to earn any of those seats, just like last year when the redistricting, absentee, and early voting referenda all failed because the state party did nothing to promote them. It would have been six seats, but Pat Ryan (who won the special election in August) barely squeaked through a win in the "real" Maloney seat (that he abandoned out of self-preservation to push Mondaire Jones out of a slightly bluer seat, which he subsequently lost). All that being said, NY will be a major focus next cycle with at least half a dozen swing opportunities in a presidential year where there are slightly larger factors beyond how little the state party is contributing.

What was even more embarrassing was that the Senate Republicans had specifically created a new, hand-tailored district for him to run in to prop up their bare majority and he lost (he won it two years later). Had the record for shortest serving senator. https://www.timesunion.com/local/article/It-s-Tkaczyk-by-just-18-votes-4205383.php

I think they can seat people in that case, I've seen in happened in NY where one guy was seated in the Senate and then unseated a week later after a recount flipped it by 12 votes. The problem is the very tight tight margin of control of the chamber where that would actually affect things.

I read somewhere that she won't be able to vote for speaker because her race isn't called and she might lose. Not going to happen but what would happen if they had a one-seat majority and she couldn't vote for speaker?

You can be cryptomaster, unless you mean i should merge all the cryptothreads

Phil I am not going to explain the historical context to you of the party in the White House nearly running the table federally and in nearly every statehouse (save like FL, NY, and IA) even if the House barely flips, given the prior expectations. BUT ANYWAYS, MOVING ON

We all thought the current House was tight, but a three-person majority in a 435-person legislature is one carpool accident away from chaos - if they can even organize a majority to begin with.

Someone needs to inform those conspiracy theorists that Democrats are donkey, not mules.