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Putin: "Stick to the timeline!"


tsar4

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So, if this is to be believed, some folks in Ukraine got caught on a Russian video call hacked by the Ukrainian Security office.  A fat lot of good turning off your camera will do when your name and face has undoubtedly been screen capped.

https://mobile.twitter.com/vidtranslator/status/1621804447541215232

The non-comical music is the Ukrainian Anthem.  

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‘Like turkeys at a shooting range’: Mauling of Russian forces in Donetsk hotspot may signal problems to come

https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/13/europe/russia-ukraine-vuhledar-donetsk-fiasco-intl/index.html

"

The scenes are chaotic: Russian tanks veering wildly before exploding or driving straight into minefields, men running in every direction, some on fire, the bodies of soldiers caught in tank tracks.

Russian military bloggers are calling it a fiasco, and worse.

These scenes have been recorded by Ukrainian military drones over the past two weeks around the town of Vuhledar in Donetsk, eastern Ukraine, where successive Russian assaults have failed.

The Vuhledar debacle suggests chronic failures in the command and tactics of the Russians as they gear up for a spring offensive. If replicated elsewhere on the long military front in Donetsk and Luhansk, such failings could jeopardize the Kremlin’s plans to seize more territory.

About 20 videos geolocated by CNN show basic tactical blunders in an area that’s open and flat, where Ukrainian spotters on higher ground can direct artillery strikes and where minefields are worsening Russian casualties."

 

 

 


Russias spring offensive may already be falling apart. Lets hope thats the case and it really does collapse.

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Great move to do this now. Its the week before the anniversary of the war and dates are huge for Putin and other fascist dictators. Its also a major "fuck you" to Putler because it shows no one is afraid of him and that we are going to continue to support Ukraine.

 

Theres been people giving Biden a hard time about taking this long to get there and yea, i dont buy it. Its a lot easier to get the leaders of European nations into Kyiv than to get POTUS across the Atlantic and into Kyiv.

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Putler had a speech last night. If it wasnt for the fact that he is sitting on thousands of nukes it would actually have been hilarious. The man is completely deranged. He blamed the US for starting the war, said Nazis run the world, committed to basically ending Ukrainian sovereignty, and said everything is perfectly fine in Russia. \

 

It was nothing short of the ramblings of a deranged lunatic who is nearing the end of his life.

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2 hours ago, Jman said:


If this goes through, it won’t help with the Russian brain drain.

The moment they step across the border, the students turn as one to blast the sass out of whichever aging stooge survived long enough to command them. 

There's not enough deep patriotism for Russia with the younger people to make them willing to march into this. The people fleeing Russia and protesting the war at the risk of prison show that. 

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11 hours ago, Master-Debater131 said:

Putler had a speech last night. If it wasnt for the fact that he is sitting on thousands of nukes it would actually have been hilarious. The man is completely deranged. He blamed the US for starting the war, said Nazis run the world, committed to basically ending Ukrainian sovereignty, and said everything is perfectly fine in Russia. \

 

It was nothing short of the ramblings of a deranged lunatic who is nearing the end of his life.

I'm going to assume that him saying they were going to suspend the New START treaty is...not good.

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11 hours ago, scoobdog said:

The United States has been accusing them of violating the treaty for over a year now, so it’s probably more just stating the obvious.

Theres also the fact that China was not bound by this treaty so while we have been playing it straight, Russia has been cheating and China has been openly developing the kind of weapons that were banned under this treaty.

So if anything, this is actually good for us. It puts us on even footing with Russia, who has been cheating, and China, who is openly developing these kinds of weapons.

 

So yea, Im going to say that nothing bad has come of Bidens trip to Kyiv yet.

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3 hours ago, Master-Debater131 said:

Theres also the fact that China was not bound by this treaty so while we have been playing it straight, Russia has been cheating and China has been openly developing the kind of weapons that were banned under this treaty.

So if anything, this is actually good for us. It puts us on even footing with Russia, who has been cheating, and China, who is openly developing these kinds of weapons.

 

So yea, Im going to say that nothing bad has come of Bidens trip to Kyiv yet.

It was all about the timing, and the US nailed it.  It wasn't going to be a Regan "Tear down that wall" kind of moment, just an opportunity to rally our NATO partners while rubbing the Russian war trolls' nose in the campaign's failures.

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3 minutes ago, scoobdog said:

It was all about the timing, and the US nailed it.  It wasn't going to be a Regan "Tear down that wall" kind of moment, just an opportunity to rally our NATO partners while rubbing the Russian war trolls' nose in the campaign's failures.

Absolutely. Dates are huge to fascist dictators, so Biden going to Kyiv and Europe on the anniversary of the war is a massive slap in the face to Putin. He also said, and did, all the right things while over there. He continued to rally around Ukraine and made it explicitly clear that we will defend every single inch of NATO territory.

Credit where credit is due, Biden has done a really good job at handling Ukraine and rallying NATO. I'm not sure that NATO has been more unified at any point post 9-11. And for a fraction of our defense budget he is leveraging our resources and the Ukrainian will to fight to absolutely kneecap one of our single biggest geopolitical adversaries.

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Theres some rumors starting to fly around about Ukraine potentially using a new weapon last night. There was video of HIMARS launches from Ukraine, and now this morning theres reports coming from deep within Russian occupied Ukrainian territory of a series of explosions targeting weapons depots. These explosions are in territory that is out of range of a usual HIMARs attack, but not of the longer range GLSDB munitions launched from a HIMARS platform.

Ukraine has been asking for the longer range weaponry for some time. We havent officially sent them any, but we would probably keep that quite to maximize its impact just like what happened when the HIMARS first hit the field.

This is all fog of war stuff, so it could be total BS. But it also could be another turning point in the war with Ukraine now able to target Russian assets much deeper than they could before.

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On 1/4/2023 at 8:52 AM, NewBluntsworth said:

Americans don't even know the recent history between America and Russia post-USSR -- how USA destroyed that country in the 90's -- let alone what their own country has done elsewhere to others. 

The vague notion of "US war crimes" gets shrugged away, as propagandized American mythologies about the evil bloodlusting """imperialist empire''"" of modern day Russia take precedence in their mind. The American lies and fakery and whitewashed history becomes the lens through which Americans view their country's wars all over the world, from Iraq to Syria to Yemen to Ukraine and all the many dozens of other countries we invade and cordon off territory and conduct military operations and drone strikes in every single year with complete legal and international impunity.

 

 

I can safely say I know Russia far better than the average American. I wrote academic papers about it college, I know some of the language, I've been there multiple times and spent time there, I know maaaaany people from there, got married there, married a guy who had been born and raised there and had never left until our honeymoon, all of my in-laws still live there. 

So I feel qualified to say that your takes are overly simplistic and shallow.  Like it genuinely boggles my mind that people can unironically try to blame the US for Russian aggression (most of whom have never even been to Russia and are just repeating the same dumb takes that are copied and pasted directly from Russian state TV).  Russia is still Muscovy at heart, except in the modern era cultural and economic power are far more effective than trying to gain vassals by brute force.  

Just because you dislike US foreign policy actions doesn't automatically mean anti-US regimes are worth defending (autocrats around the world have certainly used that mentality to their advantage to try to maintain power, though...). I cannot emphasize this enough.  

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On 2/20/2023 at 8:42 AM, Master-Debater131 said:

 

 

Great move to do this now. Its the week before the anniversary of the war and dates are huge for Putin and other fascist dictators. Its also a major "fuck you" to Putler because it shows no one is afraid of him and that we are going to continue to support Ukraine.

 

Theres been people giving Biden a hard time about taking this long to get there and yea, i dont buy it. Its a lot easier to get the leaders of European nations into Kyiv than to get POTUS across the Atlantic and into Kyiv.

He did it the week of the war anniversary actually (which is today, I mostly remember because it's my son's birthday and that was a real depressing start to it last year 😅).  

You are definitely right about the importance of dates though.  Which is why the invasion date was almost certainly not coincidental --- February 23 is a major commemorative military holiday in Russia.  And then Putin invaded immediately the very next day.  The only military date that would have been more notable would have been May 9 (WWII Victory Day) --- a date that Putin was almost certainly planning to have the "special operation" completed by, so that he too could try to grab some glory like leaders before him.  No one expected Ukraine to put up such a strong resistance (although Russia's utter incompetence certainly has helped them in that regard).  

The sad part is that Putin was quite a decent leader at the beginning of his tenure.  Russia was pretty much a failed state when he took over, and he turned it around and made it into something halfway decent.  He's thoroughly destroyed his own legacy.  But in the end, this is the trap most autocrats fall into.  It's never enough, their glory seeking is never satisfied.  

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On 2/21/2023 at 3:01 PM, Jman said:


If this goes through, it won’t help with the Russian brain drain.

There's been talk about a second mobilization for two months now, so I am skeptical for now.  

Worth mentioning though that the first one was rather...targeted.  They disproportionately went for ethnic/religious minorities and "undesirables" (poor, alcoholic, criminal history, etc).  If they do go for students that will almost certainly be targeted to --- students who are known to be anti-Putin for instance.  Ain't no way the kids of the elites are going to get drafted (of course, most of the really top elites are already living in and have most of their assets in the West, though...)

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Russia's Medvedev floats idea of pushing back Poland's borders

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-medvedev-floats-idea-pushing-back-polands-borders-2023-02-24/

"Former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev said on Friday that the only way for Moscow to ensure a lasting peace with Ukraine was to push back the borders of hostile states as far as possible, even if that meant the frontiers of NATO member Poland."

 

I know this is likely nothing more than an idiot saying dumb shit, but wow. They really are doing everything they possibly can to expand NATO. This kind of talk, and their war in Ukraine, is exactly why NATO continues to expand. I also imagine that a ton of people in Poland are sitting there like "hahaha, try me bitch". Poland has been a massive backer of Ukraine, has had a ton of foreign fighters join Ukraine, and has been itching for payback against Russian occupation for as long as I can remember. If theres one country that Russia really doesnt want to mess with, its probably Poland.

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3 hours ago, Master-Debater131 said:

Russia's Medvedev floats idea of pushing back Poland's borders

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-medvedev-floats-idea-pushing-back-polands-borders-2023-02-24/

"Former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev said on Friday that the only way for Moscow to ensure a lasting peace with Ukraine was to push back the borders of hostile states as far as possible, even if that meant the frontiers of NATO member Poland."

 

I know this is likely nothing more than an idiot saying dumb shit, but wow. They really are doing everything they possibly can to expand NATO. This kind of talk, and their war in Ukraine, is exactly why NATO continues to expand. I also imagine that a ton of people in Poland are sitting there like "hahaha, try me bitch". Poland has been a massive backer of Ukraine, has had a ton of foreign fighters join Ukraine, and has been itching for payback against Russian occupation for as long as I can remember. If theres one country that Russia really doesnt want to mess with, its probably Poland.

Well, he's certainly giving ammunition to the American and European negotiators.

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10 hours ago, Master-Debater131 said:

Russia's Medvedev floats idea of pushing back Poland's borders

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-medvedev-floats-idea-pushing-back-polands-borders-2023-02-24/

"Former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev said on Friday that the only way for Moscow to ensure a lasting peace with Ukraine was to push back the borders of hostile states as far as possible, even if that meant the frontiers of NATO member Poland."

 

I know this is likely nothing more than an idiot saying dumb shit, but wow. They really are doing everything they possibly can to expand NATO. This kind of talk, and their war in Ukraine, is exactly why NATO continues to expand. I also imagine that a ton of people in Poland are sitting there like "hahaha, try me bitch". Poland has been a massive backer of Ukraine, has had a ton of foreign fighters join Ukraine, and has been itching for payback against Russian occupation for as long as I can remember. If theres one country that Russia really doesnt want to mess with, its probably Poland.

It's been incredible to watch Russia continue to punch itself in the face every possible way over the past year.

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So there are now videos of the Belarusian Partisans attacking that Russian jet. They flew a drone to it, landed on it, flew away, then flew back with a bomb and detonated it on the fuselage.

It is stunning just how easily they were able to get to such a high value target. Russia truly has no idea how to fight a modern war.

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https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-12-2023

 

There may be a bit of a proxy war between the Russian Military and the Wagner group taking place in Bakhmut. The UA has done an amazing job at holding the city with an estimated kill rate of 5:1. This has caused the Russian Military and Wagner group to start blaming the other for the failure, and the RM holding back ammunition from Wagner.

This also is happening with growing signs that Wagner leader Prigozhin is falling out of favor within the Kremlin.

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2 hours ago, Top Gun said:

Toothless gesture, but it's something I guess.

He'll never attend another "G (whatever)" meeting, unless it's held in a "friendly country" by Kremlin standards.  Also, I'm not sure many leaders are going to jump at the chance to be seen with someone with a warrant for war crimes, other than Xi & Kim (maybe a couple others).

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18 hours ago, ghostrek said:

I just found out Putin has a warrant for his arrest for war crimes  what the fuck the ICC is thinking They're going to cause him in one launch some fucking nukes

How do you know the Americans haven’t already snuck into Russia and taken control of their nuclear stores?

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On 3/18/2023 at 8:47 PM, ghostrek said:

I just found out Putin has a warrant for his arrest for war crimes  what the fuck the ICC is thinking They're going to cause him in one launch some fucking nukes

I wouldn't be surprised if the nukes were not properly maintained considering the corruption within their military.

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https://www.yahoo.com/news/explosions-destroy-russian-cruise-missile-000300292.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucmVkZGl0LmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAA6It-kq3o5PHInHOHM8cb6n74TazMA-LoUC81ECANL2tmDiM8EtKv5GP3EqKnU2xE7AdVwMDuBDr1XIaYo-gbdwj_1lvTZWGIw95LzgU87_St36PFLMc_twKrBwWZEP8qRy7oYojQlwhVpfVTHiUTLwX5g4ZJnFiRTFPbbpKmtd

Explosions destroy Russian cruise missile shipment in Crimea

 

Well this is a nice way to start a day.  Theres videos of the attack circulating online as well. UA drones were able to pierce whatever air defenses Russia has and get to these targets.

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