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UnevenEdge

Raptorpat

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Everything posted by Raptorpat

  1. https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2022-midterm-election/348874/
  2. I mean, look at what Desantis did with redistricting. Even if it all gets thrown out after litigation for bastardizing everything we know about fair district laws, it's served its purpose for this cycle.
  3. reminds me of the time Mike Bloomberg won American Samoa
  4. My recollection is that the GOP won the case because the Chief Justice unexpectedly died a couple months ago so the top court deadlocked and the appellate decision remained controlling. Something like that.
  5. I was big in the aim era, but I skipped the tinychat era.
  6. sponges if people can't read between the lines they need to go back to school
  7. I just voted. Because Andrew Cuomo shit on democracy by making it prohibitively difficult for (real) third parties to make it to the ballot, it was probably the simplest ballot I've ever filled out. Just Dem/GOP candidates for everything (on their main party line and on the Conservative/WFP lines). One statewide ballot proposal for a $4.2b environmental bond act and one local town proposal. I was out and back before my laptop could idle into sleep mode. It's disgusting that super urban environments elsewhere develop multi-hour lines because they don't have enough resources and then the alternative voting opportunities get challenged in court.
  8. Well yes, but it's another thing to actually like see the intent spelled out in writing. Regardless, I pulled an Odin and uninstalled the app. On top of the data thing, everything I use it for can be done in a browser and the absence of push notifications will probably be a net positive on my mental health and attention span. (*proceeds to boot up Pokemon GO*)
  9. here's a thread that makes me want to delete everything off my phone and chuck it into the sea
  10. I feel like there's a play to make here, but someone's gotta tell me what it is
  11. I'm going to troll your twitter until i get bored
  12. I saw one thing that someone banned him on their way out the door, but that it was reversed 15 minutes later
  13. https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/04/barrett-student-debt-relief-00065257
  14. The court thing was a simple reform that unfortunately had to go through the process. The environmental one, they tried to oppose it due to the fear of regulations/litigation, but it won because it was so simple. The two voting ones were also simple, but only the opposition was engaged. The redistricting one - I voted against it because philosophically I don't think you fix a bogus, built-to-fail redistricting commission by making it easier for Dems to sideline it. You fix it by fixing it. But then the Dem maps all got thrown out because they had to sideline it regardless. The ghosts of Dean Skelos and Andrew Cuomo live on, even though neither are technically dead yet.
  15. You had to read carefully because they didn't spend a penny advocating/educating and the only competitive races were local/county races outside of NYC (which was decided in the primary) so there was no partisan advantage.
  16. There was a ballot proposition to amend the NYS constitution (which prohibits registration within ten days of an election) that lost last year, because it was an odd-year election, Republicans invested heavily in opposing all the proposed election reforms, and Democrats did absolutely nothing. It cost them that, it cost them no-excuse absentee balloting, and it cost them redistricting.
  17. personal anecdote from the other day (a conversation between my coworker and her 19 y/o brother in the Bronx): brother: hey um... so is there an election happening? coworker: ...yeah, the federal midterms/statewide races. why...? you said you didn't want to register to vote. brother: my civics professor said he'd give us extra credit if we vote coworker: well the deadline to vote already passed, you're outta luck
  18. If PA/GA/NV collapse, yeah. Unless something crazy happens and the cult frees itself, or if there are more one-offs like Doug Jones, probably a decade at least. The Dems would need to come out of this with 53 seats to not need to depend on Tester, Brown, and Manchin defying gravity for yet another cycle in 2024. Given that it's turning into a more regular midterm cycle where the out-party has the hate advantage and the kids won't vote, that's off the table.
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