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Everything posted by scoobdog
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No, it isn't. You can dance around it all you want, but you're just dancing around the fact you think the United States is the senior (and only effective) partner in this group. If, in fact, Russia is foolish enough to be antagonized by this, then it's a brilliant play that allows us to take the negative attention while our partners continue to be effective behind the scenes. In all likelihood, the Russians are not that stupid, and they're not going to be antagonized by one country taking the credit for an action that most likely involved several countries working in concert. More importantly, such an admission would have no bearing on a decision if Putin uses nukes or not. If he's of sound mind, he knows deploying a nuke means he's lost or about to lose because it is a weapon of last resort where everyone knows the consequences. If he's not of sound mind, he's already "found" the moral justification he needs to act in his delusions.
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Glad to see you enjoy when Republicans are petty.
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No matter what Russia tries to shape the narrative as, it's a fight between Russia and the rest of the world. Russia is well aware that it isn't just the United States giving the Ukraine intel, and us taking credit for the intel doesn't mean that if we were to stop that the intel wouldn't keep coming. Your entire premise is that the United States is the one in control, and that's just not the case.
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I don’t see how it’s spitting on Russia’s face.
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Also one of the links tried to infect me.
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Either he's really dead or he's getting the Cosby.
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The obvious reason to admit it is to stop the Russians in their tracks. It also lends more legitimacy when refuting tangential claims, such as when Russia claims that the Ukraine has attacked points inside of Russia's borders. If we know where their top brass is going to be or where their prized pool toy in the Black Sea is weighing anchor, what else do we know?
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Indeed. In subsequent analysis by the media, it’s been pointed out that one this leak potentially ends up galvanizing each bloc on the court, creating a resilient impasse for Roberts as he attempts to broker a more tempered and restricted reversal of Roe, presumably one that pays at least some lip service to a woman’s autonomy. Whether or not the leaker is right to expose the draft, the leak unquestionably causes irreversible damage to the decision process, and it permanently diminishes public trust in this court. The question then is who is responsible. It’s hard to suggest that an appointee is perjuring him or herself just by changing an stance on precedent. Arguably, Gorsuch and Kavenaugh could decide it isn’t established law based on the specifics of the case. Notably, we’re only seeing Alito’s opinion so we don’t know how any of the others would modify and temper the draft to a final opinion. Nonetheless, nobody could reasonably look at the confirmation process and say that it isn’t corrupted. The last two appointed judges were widely seen as unqualified by independent observers, and the naked partisanship in their hearings left little doubt they were going to be less than partial. Removing the courts ability to obscure the thinking process essentially just confirms that what we thought was happening actually is happening. Importantly, it does nothing to prove or disprove outside interference on its own though. This is why I suspect the leaker will never be identified. We might be exposing an extreme and poorly argued argument, but it’s not unvarnished. The degree of trust it betrays is significantly less than of personal communications between justices or, worse, justices and outsiders to the court. It might be embarrassing to Alito, but that’s because it’s so poorly written and so beneath the standards of even past decisions of this same court. It really serves more as a cautionary tale to the justices themselves than it illuminates for us citizens.
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...again.
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The SCOTUS is really kind of at a crossroads. If any Dem actually believed anything coming out of Beerbong and Sisters' mouths, then they had to be living under a rock, but that's nitpicking at this point because there was nothing any Dem could have done about their elevations regardless. The liberal justices and Roberts have been eying this slow motion wreck for awhile and you can kind of see it in the unpredictable decisions that opened this session... almost as if there was negotiations with the three younger conservative justices to see who would be most likely to move back toward Roberts in the center. Clearly it was futile, but the point is that the SCOTUS has been a bit more exposed since the confirmation of ACB and you can see a little bit more of the ideological wrangling than in previous sessions. I think you misrepresent what BBB was. It was already a watered down collection of liberal priorities with the express purpose of making it palatable of moderates. Taking anything else out of it was going to doom it. Something that expansive can't be distilled into a bumper sticker slogan, and it shouldn't be. The progressives are not given nearly enough credit for negotiating in good faith to get something palatable to table for their base primarily because Manchin and Sinema were dishonest-by-omission about their intentions. That doesn't change the fact that other priorities could and should have been addressed knowing where the political climate was headed. It doesn't mean we would have gotten anything more than we got, but it would have certainly kept more voters engaged. Looking at what Biden has been able to do with Ukraine certainly tells me that his administration knows how to be the canary when it needs to. Unfortunately, yes.
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Fuck that bitch.
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I thought that was one of the historical myths that have persisted for years.
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I think most people understood this was going to happen when Trump lucked into an open spot with RBGs untimely passing, and it was always going to be questionable whether SC stacking could be a viable option (especially given how slow the GOP has made the confirmation process). But you’re absolutely right that the Dems didn’t do enough when they could to stop this unfolding crisis. Like you said, the Dems should have focused on Universal Health Care and they didn’t. Child care assistance was a big part of the BBB, but it was already a watered down offering meant to give Manchin and Sinema some cover. It’s not that green initiatives aren’t important or that the climate isn’t a crisis, its that women’s reproductive rights are intrinsically tied to healthcare and a universal system would have allowed women to get the care they needed across state lines without being burdened by the cost. You meet the crisis you know will happen before it happens.
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Absolutely this. Talk about the hypothetical clerk losing his or her career in law after this is probably moot in that all likelihood the source of the leak will never be explicitly identified. More importantly, I tend to agree with the assertion that Roberts most likely had some idea the leak would happen because the leaked document itself is so problematic. It ignores precedent so completely that it does more damage to the reputation of the court than the leak would, and, as the Chief Justice, he has to know what's at stake if a decision like this came out as official. That's not to say he would ever allow such a leak to happen on his watch, just that he had to have foreseen how problematic this would be an how he could capitalize on the leak once it did happen.