Master-Debater131

Like I said, Democrats were going to chace the football in Texas just for it to be pulled away again. This was absolutely obvious for people who really stepped back and looked at things. DDHQ is giving the GOP a 97% chance of winning the Senate now, and they are also thinking it will be 53-47. Just like I had predicted. In the House, its roughly 55% the GOP hold that as well. They have flipped 3 seats so far tonight.

So far it seems like Trump is running 3-5 points ahead of where the polls finished. If that holds, hes in good shape. That was the question coming into this, did the shy Trump vote? Ohio was called for Trump, not a surprise at all. The Senate race is still too close to call. Its snowing, and I have been summoned by the lady for some hot tub time because of that. Hottubbing in the snow is just awesome. Trump is at 69% in DDHQ right now. Who knows what itll be when I get back.

Its not The Needle, but DDHQ has a good tracker as well. These guys are generally pretty accurate, and were one of the first groups to call Arizona for Biden 4 years ago. Data nerds doing data nerd things. https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/ Been bouncing around for Trump in the 60s most of the nice, and spent some time at at 69% before briefly touching 70%.

Florida was never in question. It was always going to the GOP. Whats so interesting is seeing how Trump is carrying the Latino vote in Florida. As for Georgia, it sounds like Trump is winning 25% of Black Men. If thats true, he has an extremely good chance at winning Georgia.

Justice has won his Senate race in WV. Thats the first pickup of the night, and means the Senate is now currently 50-50 if no other seats flip.

Indiana and Kentucky called immediately for Trump. Vermont same for Harris. Sanders wins his reelection campaign in VT. Edit: Missed the Indiana Senate call as well. Immediately for Banks, GOP hold.

Its funny how true this is. Neither candidate really should have a chance at this because they both truly are horrible horrible candidates.

You be quiet. Exit polls are never wrong and have never once been contradictory to the final outcome

Exit polls!

Awwwwww yeaaaaa, Exit Poll and voter analysis time!

Because The Needle might not happen on NTY tonight because of a strike Im having to resort to more primitive measures, Kalshi and Poli Market. Trump has gained about 2% throughout today on both of those. I want The Needle damnit!

Then theres stuff like this. A huge question in this whole thing has been that Silent Trump vote. If this is true then Trump may have a huge night. But who the hell knows right now. Anyone telling you that a swing state is absolutely going one way or another is just lying to you right now.

Its funny watching all these reacitons on X right now. Theres a complete and total mix of both Republican and Democrat insiders swinging wildly between open panic and total optimism. My feed is full of one tweet with a GOP insider saying turnout is too low, followed by a Democrat saying the same thing, followed by a GOP saying actually turnout means that NJ is in play, followed by one where Democrats think Texas is in play. Its a total shit show, and its hilarious. No one knows whats going on right now.

This one might be better

NFL OT Rules really suck

I got you

Sure sounds like there is far to much power in that position then.

Yeaaaaa, that actually makes sense. That was one of the best episodes of that entire season. "Marijuana free Christmas Snow". The whole legalize it scene. Then Santa convincing Jesus to try the coke, only to find it super clean and a great high. That was such a funny episode. Butters mom driving around with her tits out. That one hit super close to home just because of some shenanigans with the GF and snow. I cried I was laughing so hard.

If he is this giant idiot, then how is he going to abuse the power? This is the Bush Caused 9/11 shit all over again. Bush was simultaneously the biggest idiot in the world yet smart enough to pull off the most sophisticated conspiracy of all time.

They wont sell alcohol? That seems like an absolutely idiotic business decision. Feel like this would be right up there with Super Bowl Weekend for alcohol sales. I'm reminded of that South Park episode where they go to the hospital after the election and everyone either partied to hard or tried to kill themselves. Cant find the full clip right now though.