Master-Debater131

Now THIS is the kind of pure pettiness and trash talking that I can get behind.

MSNBC is starting to hear it and get it. The Democratic party has been attacking men as the core of so many of our problems, so Men naturally went to the people who are saying "actually, its not you". If you constantly attack and alienate a group of people then its entirely natural for them to stop supporting you and instead seek out people who have a message that fits you better. That same phenomena can be expanded to so many of the voter groups and people who wound up voting Trump yesterday.

Its a sign, shouldnt have killed the squirrel.

Interesting thought, what happens to Hunter Biden now? Lots of rumors that Biden was going to pardon him before his term was up. Sentencing is next week, election is over. When does the Pardon hit? And bonus thought, does Biden throw the ultimate chaos move by pardoning Trump at the same time so Trump doesnt pardon himself. Lottttssss of talk that Bidenworld is beyond pissed at how this all went down. It sure would be one last middle finger if he wound up throwing out duel pardons.

Possibly the first rumor of who might get prime spot in the Trump admin.

I was wrong though. I said Harris would win the EC in a 270-268 vote. You have no idea how smug I was feeling when literally everything was going the way I said it would, right up until PA. I simply didnt think Trump was going to actually win PA, let alone sweep the entire Blue Wall. Am I smug about so many of the things Ive been saying for months? Oh you know it. Ive been proven right again on so so many things Ive said. But I got my final calls wrong, and I dont like that.

What gets me is that people really should be cheering the idea of a guy like Musk being far more involved in government. He single handedly made electric vehicles a viable option in this country. Without him the EV market would still be where it was 15 years ago. Like him or not, he absolutely is a visionary whos ideas should be, at a minimum, explored. I think a lot of them are far out there, but it does force the question on how to approach issues.

Theres still going to be a clean environment, it just wont be dictated by trans-national elites.

Ill keep analyzing the election outcomes, but now lets look at some of the practical immediate impacts now that Trump has won. First off, Jack Smith is done. The DOJ has already announced they are dropping all cases against Trump and plan to remove Jack Smith from his current role. The show trials are over, and its ended predictably. Politically, Trump has a clear mandate. It didnt seem like it would be possible this year, but he does have one. Hes on track for 300+ ECs, and winning the popular vote. No Republican has won the popular vote in 20 years, and many Democrats said it was not possible for that to ever happen again. And yet here we are, he has done it. What he does with his mandate will be interesting. The economy is the #1 issue, and he has an opportunity to rebuild the economy as he sees fit. SCOTUS and Justices - extremely high likelihood that the GOP lean on Thomas to retire so that Trump can replace him with a much younger justice. With the Senate being firmly in the GOPs hands Murkowski and Collins cant slowroll this either. The GOP doesnt technically need their votes to confirm a justice. This also means that, for at least the next 2 years, if any of the Democratic justices leave the bench then Trump can replace them. Theres a very real chance that Trump will wind up appointing 5-6 of the 9 Justices before this is all said and done. This same dynamic also applies for justices across the legal system. The GOP have the chance to nominate and approve as many justices as they can in the first 2 years of the Trump campaign. Middle East is going to look a lot different. Trump will clearly stand up to Iran and wont let their crap fly anymore. It also means that Israel doesnt have to worry about being stabbed in the back. Bigger picture is that Saudi and Israel are likely going to normalize relations, potentially earlier in 2025 after he is in the White House. Paris Accords - dead and buried. US is going to back out, again, and this time probably means they will die forever. Theres a whole lot more, but these are some of the bigger immediate swings.

For the candidates, Trump is Trump. We all know who he is, and we have all had 4 years of him being President. So his status was already set. Harris, on the other hand, was an absolutely horrible candidate from Day 1. Anyone who is honest with themselves would see that. She failed to gain a single vote in the primaries, and flamed out before her own state of California was ever able to vote for her. Tulsi Gabbard ended her campaign in 2020 before it ever got going. Prior to being anointed as the nominee this year she was one of the most unpopular VPs in American history. At no point did people ever have a favorable opinion of her. If there was an actual open primary following the palace coup against Biden she would not have won. But Democrats couldnt do that because it risked shattering their coalition, something that may have happened anyway. She was the most artificial candidate we have ever seen, and couldnt even find a way to answer some of the most basic questions asked of her. "What would you do different from Biden?" "Nothing" Thats as politically tone deaf an answer as you can possibly have when everything suggested people are not happy with the direction of the country. The VP pick wasnt any better. She went with Waltz because she couldnt go with the Jewish Shapiro. The antisemitic wing of the Democratic party was simply too strong for her to go with the much smarter and more politically adept pick of Shapiro. Waltz turned into a huge liability and did nothing to help bring rural voters, particularly men, into the Democratic fold. His debate performance was horrible, and he was just weird. Vance on the other hand clearly demonstrated an ability to communicate with people, and his performances on those podcasts are a huge reason why men showed up for Trump. Joe Rogan wound up potentially being kingmaker this year. Harris flat out refused to go to Rogan to do the podcast. Trump, Vance, and Trump surrogate Musk all made sure to go to that podcast. A three hour conversation that made them all seem like perfectly normal people. Harris absolutely needed to do that, and she didnt. Those conversations perfectly pierced the media bubble that Trump is Hitler. No one who listened to those podcasts would think that. Baron Trump apparently was instrumental in having the Trump campaign lean into these podcasts to get to these voters.

Ahhh what a fun day this has been. Ive been consuming all sorts of Liberal media today to see if they have learned anything at all from last night, and so far the answer is No. Even here the obvious answers are being discredited for the old tropes. Harris lost because of racism, sexism, the country is full of Nazis, or people are just too stupid to understand whats good for them. The biggest issue was the economy, and no matter what people are told they do not feel that the economy is working for them. When groceries cost what they do, people will never believe you when you say "trust me, the economy is good". Abortion also was not the game changing issue that Democrats thought it would be. Women didnt vote in lock step for a single issue abortion campaign, but instead they acted like most other voting groups and weighed different positions to decide who to vote for. Across the country Abortion issues won at the state level, but then didnt translate into enough votes at the top of the ticket. That issue is working exactly how SCOTUS said it should, its a State issue, and States are figuring it out. Missouri, a blood red state, passed an Abortion resolution while voting overwhelmingly for Trump. Last night also clearly showed that there is a realignment between the working class and the elites, and the GOP is clearly becoming the party of the working class. Trump made massive gains among minority men, and particularly working class men. This continues a trend that we have seen for a while now where Men, particularly working class men, are trending toward the GOP. Men, in general, also showed up in ways that they havent before (more on that in a different post). For all the talk about the gender gap among women carrying Harris over the line, the Democratic weakness among Men absolutely offset that. Married Women also tend to vote more Republican than Democrat, and it looks like they showed up last night. In the cases where this is brought up by commentators, those commentators are instantly browbeat into submission and not allowed to expand on that. Democratic pundits still fully believe that the only reason that Harris lost is because of racism, sexism, and Nazis. Inflation, Crime, Immigration, all considered back-seat issues to the real driver why Harris lost, racism, sexism, and Nazis. Democrats had learned this lesson after 2016 when they nominated Biden in 2020 to win the working class vote, but then abandoned it right away this year in favor of playing identity politics with a wealthy elite woman from a wealthy elite background. Oh, and you shouldnt have killed that squirrel.

Well with that, Im going to bed. And boooyyyy will I have a lot to say tomorrow.

Its over Fox News has called Pennsylvania for Trump. Donald Trump has just been elected the 47th President of the United States.

I kinda doubt its going to happen. As I sit here now I think I got the WH and House calls wrong. Trump has the clear advantage for the White House and probably popular vote, and I think Democrats with the House with a 2-5 Seat advantage. Trump simply has a huge advantage right now, and all he needs is a single Blue Wall state. Hes leading in all 3 right now. NYT has him at a greater than 95% chance of winning, and thinks that PA is going to be called soon. Trump is probably going to win more than 300 EC votes, and may have a clear governing mandate at that. Something I simply did not believe was going to happen. Rumor is that the Secret Services has dispatched a full Presidential detail to Florida to start working with Trump. Probably most indicative of all is how the Harris campaign is acting. They are pulling a page directly from the Hillary playbook. She wont speak tonight, and instead she sent out one of her staffers to tell people to go home.

Ive been right on everything so far. Dead on with my EC predictions, and the Senate races are going exactly like I said.

NYT has it as a Trump pickup as well. Its not called, but its absolutely clear that Trump is going to win Georgia.

Trump is setting new records for the GOP among Black Men, Jewish voters, Latinos, and Men in general across the country.

Moreno has won the Senate race for Ohio. GOP with a clear majority in the Senate now.

DDHQ called Georgia for Trump. Trump currently sits at 242 EC votes according to DDHQ

Now this one is just absolutely remarkable. Among people who said that Democracy was their #1 issue this election, Trump won by 7 points.

Its fking hot in that thing! Feels great, but like 20 minutes max and then its just hot. Cant sit in there for ages and just cook.

Yeaaaaaaaaa, about that Selter poll......... NYT is currently projecting Trump to win the Popular Vote as well as the EC.

While we still wait on votes, one thing that absolutely must be said is that Florida has set the gold standard for elections. Im not talking results, Im talking how they are run. Florida is one of our larger states and is in 2 time zones, it took nearly 90 minutes to count 10 million votes. They were a joke for the "hanging chads" and now are the gold standard for elections. That is how elections absolutely need to be done. There is no real excuse in the modern age for votes to take days to collect. You can say what you want about them, but their elections are secure and quickly tabulated. No reason the rest of the country cant follow that model.

Bitcoin is currently on a tear. That could be a sign that the market expects Trump to win. He is generally seen as the more pro-crypto candidate. Its up nearly $5K today, and is starting to really take off.