Master-Debater131

Put. ze candle. back.

I will also continue to maintain that actions speak louder than words. And the actions out of the Harris campaign are showing a campaign waiving the white flag in some very key places. First up, North Carolina where the campaign has canceled virtually all add spending in the final week of the race. North Carolina has looked to be a strong GOP state this election with early voting numbers showing a clear enthusiasm gap that favors Trump. NC was always a bit of a longshot for the Harris campaign, so this isnt entirely a surprise. If they are redirecting the funds to Virginia then that would be a surprise. Early word there is that the GOP are turning out in record numbers across the state. The DC suburbs still have to vote, but Virginia might be closer than people think. The more interesting one is Wisconsin. If she is pulling out of WI, something is happening up there. Either she thinks she has it in the bag, or shes moving resources because she can lose that state (she can) and still win the EC if she holds PA. Recent polling in WI has been more favorable to Trump, but well within the MoE. If Trump wins both NC and WI that puts him at 245. AZ and NV both look like they are going to go to Trump right now, which puts him at 262. That means he would need to win just 1 of Minnesota, Michigan, Georgia, or Pennsylvania to get to 270. Harris would have to run the table in those 4 states to get her to 276 to Trumps 262. Unless theres another surprise out there. NH has supposedly gotten pretty tight, and even New Mexico is suddenly within the MoE in some polls. I have a very hard time believing that either NH or NM would go Trump unless its a landslide. This thing is tight, and its going to be tight right to the end.

Wait, you dont get a sticker with your ballot? When we get our mail in ballots it comes with an "I voted" bewb sticker. Also, WTF is a corporation commissioner? We're voting on CEOs now?

Biden really just killed that entire story, and he did it on what was supposed to be Kamalas biggest campaign night. I cannot wait for the same people who said that the joke was going to sink Trump to say that this wont do anything to Harris. Im really not convinced he isnt trying to sabotage her a bit. Its well documents that he, and his team, do not like Harris and feel that being sidelined breaks the deal they had when he stepped down. The memes are already just fantastic at least.

Muslim and Arab leaders take the stage to endorse Trump at Michigan rally https://www.mlive.com/politics/2024/10/muslim-and-arab-leaders-take-the-stage-to-endorse-trump-at-michigan-rally.html?outputType=amp NOVI, MI - Former President Donald Trump took the stage in Novi, Oakland County, to a packed crowd of enthusiastic supporters on Saturday, Oct. 26. In his speech, he aimed to energize his base with less than two weeks until Election Day, suggesting that his appeal among Muslim supporters could be a turning point in Michigan and a significant detriment to Vice President Kamala Harris. At the Suburban Collection Showplace, 46100 Grand River Ave., a group of Muslim imams from the Michigan Chapter of the Arab American Bar Association took the stage to endorse Trump, expressing their support for his stance on ending the wars in the Middle East. “We as Muslims stand with President Trump because he promises peace not war,” one of the imams said. “We are supporting Donald Trump because he promised to end war in the Middle East and Ukraine.” Thats a big deal. Not because the endorsements will change votes, they realistically never do, but because this is more proof that Michigan is going to be extremely tough for Harris to carry. There are a lot of Muslims that think she is supporting a genocide in the middle east right now. Its been documented for a while that she is losing critical support from this voting bloc.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2024/10/26/kornacki_after_six_weeks_as_candidate_harris_is_less_popular_than_trump_in_new_cnbc_poll.html Kornacki: Harris No Longer More Popular Than Trump In New CNBC, NBC Polls This comes as a whole bunch of pollsters are starting to release their final polls of the cycle. The RCP average has Trump up 0.1% in the national head to head, which is a statistical tie, but also really good news for Trump. Historically the Democrats need a 3% or more lead in this poll to win the Electoral College. Battleground states are also showing a tight race, but all of them have Trump in the lead right now. Can he lose them? Sure. And I dont think hes going to sweep them all. But, as of now, Trump has the clear advantage with a little over a week to go. NV and AZ are looking more and more like a GOP Win, with NV being abandoned by some Democratic PACs already. NC is setting GOP turnout records, so looking good there. GA is seeing record turnout in GOP dominating areas. And in PA even Fetterman is saying something is going on and Trump has real enthusiasm in the state. There looks to be a preference cascade building, and its building for Trump right now. Oh, and we can just call Florida already. Thats a laughter with the GOP holding a, roughly, 26% lead in early voting. Even Miami has flipped to the GOP in early voting. Any pollster, or prognosticator, who says Florida is in play can be summarily ignored.

The Podcast dropped. 3 hours long. That was a looonnnggggg conversation. So much for the whole "hes too tired" shtick that Harris is trying to pull. He did this then went on to have a rally afterwards. No talk about drugs, but they did touch on aliens. And not the illegal ones to deport (ok those to). That was a little interesting to hear about.

College has the replay assist and that moves pretty quick. Generally its pretty obvious when a call was missed or wrong. Like that face mask was so obvious that anyone should have been able to call it. Thats a 5 second review from the upstairs official. "Obvious facemask, throw the flag" Really seems like they could make it go fast. And as for fast sports, Hockey is the fastest. Games generally fly by, and the action is quick.

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-growing-gender-gap-among-young-people/ Heres another one. Democrats losing ground with men is a well documented phenomenon that has been a topic of discussion for years. Men, particularly younger working men, are leaving the Democratic party.

It would make sense. I really enjoyed the Tegridy farm stuff. People from CO saw so many stupid references in the different episodes, and some of the underlying stuff was pretty locally relevant. It wasnt as good as Skankhunt, but Randy is a fantastic character to center on for a bit. Just dumb stuff thats slapstick comedy. And then the Japanese Toilet episode......pure gold.

The way they had the music line up with it was just hilarious. That entire season was fantastic. The Skankhunt story line was just so well done, with so many perfect jokes.

Totally agree. I also think a fast review with an eye in the sky should be implemented. No reason an off-field official cant call down and say "hey, you missed a blatantly obvious call, throw the flag"

Thats a fun stat to overlay with this one Going to be a whooollleeeee lot of unhappy single people if they cant accept people having different views than themselves.

Oh its absolutely a feature at this point. The NFL loves the drama when this happens. They also love it when their poster boys get soft calls at the end of the game to help them win. Its a nice and easy way to make sure that the "right" team wins for the optimal NFL outcome. The NFL desperately needs to have some sort of review process for penalties. Bellecheck probably had the best idea of all. Coaches get 3 challenges a game to challenge anything they want. Play, penalty, missed call. Anything.

There is a very real chance that Trump could win the popular vote. Do I think he will? No. But he might. Theres also the pure chaos inducing chance that Trump wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college. The only thing that would cause more chaos would be an electoral tie.

I dont care if this is real or fake, its amazing.

Just gonna keep this rolling with this new article from the WSJ: Expect the GOP to Win Big in the Senate https://www.wsj.com/opinion/expect-the-gop-to-win-big-in-the-senate-secret-weapon-trump-voters-election-578d3764?st=QNnuMm "Two Democratic senators up for election touted their links to Donald Trump last week. Pennsylvania’s Bob Casey released an ad declaring he had “sided with Trump” on trade and tariffs, while an ad from Wisconsin’s Tammy Baldwin boasted that she “got President Trump to back her Made in America bill.” One conclusion from these ads is that Mr. Trump is in the ascendancy in these states. He might be. But the ads also speak to a hidden dynamic that may hand the Senate to the GOP. Candidates in Arizona, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are fighting for the support of undecided voters. These voters tend to account for between 5% and 10% of states’ electorates, enough to sway the result of a close race. These crucial voters look a lot more like Mr. Trump’s supporters than Kamala Harris’s. According to our latest Pennsylvania poll, 51% of undecided Senate voters intend to vote for Mr. Trump, compared with 23% for Ms. Harris. This pattern replicates itself across our internal research. In Ohio, 78% of undecided voters in the Senate race would opt for Mr. Trump, in Montana 59%, and in Arizona 77%. Overall, twice as many undecided voters in Senate races back Mr. Trump over Ms. Harris." WSJ polling is picking up on the same trend that other polls are showing. There is a preference cascade building, and that preference is for Trump. The late breaking deciders are siding with Trump. Its not unusual for the out of power party to pick up these late breakers, so this is pretty normal. The top of the ticket learners are now building coattails where people will vote straight party line. Trump is gaining, if not outright leading, at the top of the ticket and thats likely going to translate into more GOP pickups in the Senate than we might think. The Senate is the easiest thing to call right now, and its absolutely going to flip to the GOP.

He just was trying to imitate the refs, unfortunately he couldn't bend far enough to get his head literally up his own ass The Refs are an absolute joke. The MLB is about to bring in roboump to stop this kind of thing from happening, but the NFL refuses. Its a pretty sad state when the damn MLB is more forward thinking than you are.

Bidens mental status continues to be a huge problem for Harris. Everyone knows that Bidens mental state is, at best, severely diminished. Anyone paying attention knew its been that way for a long time. Its the primary reason why he is not running again. Harris cant say that though, because she would have to admit that she knew he is mentally incapable of being POTUS, and she would have seen it first hand. She has to continue to lie to everyone that Biden is totally capable of being POTUS even though we all can see with our own eyes that he is not. Its a completely unwinnable position for her.

LAT has been a reliable endorsement for Democrats for 20 years. Harris breaks that streak.

Hoooooo boy. Harris was going to do this as well, but she has apparently backed out. Now Trump has a chance to go on the podcast first, and who knows whats going to happen. Im expecting a glorious train wreck.

I dont necessarily disagree that people turning on Trump could cost him.There is a big difference between who is turning on Trump and who is turning on Harris. Trump has former staffers, and ex-office holders, turning on him. While this speaks more to his character, Liz Cheney is not going to make people question Trump. Theres also the supreme irony that Dick Cheney has endorsed Harris. The same Dick Cheny who the Left has spent years saying is a war criminal and deserves to be tried and sent to jail for life. Harris is losing people currently in office. That has a much more immediate and visual impact on things. If people are happy with their Senator, and that Senator starts to hug Trump, they may decide that its OK to also vote for Trump. Thats a very real danger for Harris. Trump has also been shedding people since basically day 1 in his office. People are a bit immune to that news. This is a new phenomenon for Harris, and its a new thing in the news. Harris is still not a well defined candidate at all, largely at her own fault for not doing media availability. Trump is Trump, and everyone knows what Trump is. It took a literal bullet hitting his ear to change his image.