Master-Debater131

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-growing-gender-gap-among-young-people/ Heres another one. Democrats losing ground with men is a well documented phenomenon that has been a topic of discussion for years. Men, particularly younger working men, are leaving the Democratic party.

It would make sense. I really enjoyed the Tegridy farm stuff. People from CO saw so many stupid references in the different episodes, and some of the underlying stuff was pretty locally relevant. It wasnt as good as Skankhunt, but Randy is a fantastic character to center on for a bit. Just dumb stuff thats slapstick comedy. And then the Japanese Toilet episode......pure gold.

The way they had the music line up with it was just hilarious. That entire season was fantastic. The Skankhunt story line was just so well done, with so many perfect jokes.

Totally agree. I also think a fast review with an eye in the sky should be implemented. No reason an off-field official cant call down and say "hey, you missed a blatantly obvious call, throw the flag"

Thats a fun stat to overlay with this one Going to be a whooollleeeee lot of unhappy single people if they cant accept people having different views than themselves.

Oh its absolutely a feature at this point. The NFL loves the drama when this happens. They also love it when their poster boys get soft calls at the end of the game to help them win. Its a nice and easy way to make sure that the "right" team wins for the optimal NFL outcome. The NFL desperately needs to have some sort of review process for penalties. Bellecheck probably had the best idea of all. Coaches get 3 challenges a game to challenge anything they want. Play, penalty, missed call. Anything.

There is a very real chance that Trump could win the popular vote. Do I think he will? No. But he might. Theres also the pure chaos inducing chance that Trump wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college. The only thing that would cause more chaos would be an electoral tie.

I dont care if this is real or fake, its amazing.

Just gonna keep this rolling with this new article from the WSJ: Expect the GOP to Win Big in the Senate https://www.wsj.com/opinion/expect-the-gop-to-win-big-in-the-senate-secret-weapon-trump-voters-election-578d3764?st=QNnuMm "Two Democratic senators up for election touted their links to Donald Trump last week. Pennsylvania’s Bob Casey released an ad declaring he had “sided with Trump” on trade and tariffs, while an ad from Wisconsin’s Tammy Baldwin boasted that she “got President Trump to back her Made in America bill.” One conclusion from these ads is that Mr. Trump is in the ascendancy in these states. He might be. But the ads also speak to a hidden dynamic that may hand the Senate to the GOP. Candidates in Arizona, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are fighting for the support of undecided voters. These voters tend to account for between 5% and 10% of states’ electorates, enough to sway the result of a close race. These crucial voters look a lot more like Mr. Trump’s supporters than Kamala Harris’s. According to our latest Pennsylvania poll, 51% of undecided Senate voters intend to vote for Mr. Trump, compared with 23% for Ms. Harris. This pattern replicates itself across our internal research. In Ohio, 78% of undecided voters in the Senate race would opt for Mr. Trump, in Montana 59%, and in Arizona 77%. Overall, twice as many undecided voters in Senate races back Mr. Trump over Ms. Harris." WSJ polling is picking up on the same trend that other polls are showing. There is a preference cascade building, and that preference is for Trump. The late breaking deciders are siding with Trump. Its not unusual for the out of power party to pick up these late breakers, so this is pretty normal. The top of the ticket learners are now building coattails where people will vote straight party line. Trump is gaining, if not outright leading, at the top of the ticket and thats likely going to translate into more GOP pickups in the Senate than we might think. The Senate is the easiest thing to call right now, and its absolutely going to flip to the GOP.

He just was trying to imitate the refs, unfortunately he couldn't bend far enough to get his head literally up his own ass The Refs are an absolute joke. The MLB is about to bring in roboump to stop this kind of thing from happening, but the NFL refuses. Its a pretty sad state when the damn MLB is more forward thinking than you are.

Bidens mental status continues to be a huge problem for Harris. Everyone knows that Bidens mental state is, at best, severely diminished. Anyone paying attention knew its been that way for a long time. Its the primary reason why he is not running again. Harris cant say that though, because she would have to admit that she knew he is mentally incapable of being POTUS, and she would have seen it first hand. She has to continue to lie to everyone that Biden is totally capable of being POTUS even though we all can see with our own eyes that he is not. Its a completely unwinnable position for her.

LAT has been a reliable endorsement for Democrats for 20 years. Harris breaks that streak.

Hoooooo boy. Harris was going to do this as well, but she has apparently backed out. Now Trump has a chance to go on the podcast first, and who knows whats going to happen. Im expecting a glorious train wreck.

I dont necessarily disagree that people turning on Trump could cost him.There is a big difference between who is turning on Trump and who is turning on Harris. Trump has former staffers, and ex-office holders, turning on him. While this speaks more to his character, Liz Cheney is not going to make people question Trump. Theres also the supreme irony that Dick Cheney has endorsed Harris. The same Dick Cheny who the Left has spent years saying is a war criminal and deserves to be tried and sent to jail for life. Harris is losing people currently in office. That has a much more immediate and visual impact on things. If people are happy with their Senator, and that Senator starts to hug Trump, they may decide that its OK to also vote for Trump. Thats a very real danger for Harris. Trump has also been shedding people since basically day 1 in his office. People are a bit immune to that news. This is a new phenomenon for Harris, and its a new thing in the news. Harris is still not a well defined candidate at all, largely at her own fault for not doing media availability. Trump is Trump, and everyone knows what Trump is. It took a literal bullet hitting his ear to change his image.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/19/us/politics/casey-pennsylvania-senate-ad-trump.html https://www.axios.com/2024/10/18/senate-democrats-campaign-ads-trump-2024 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/comment/2024/10/21/the-telltale-signs-that-kamala-harris-blue-wall-is-crumblin/

That Sunday night game was super tough for me to watch. Not because of teh game itself, but because I was super torn on who I wanted to win. On the one hand, if the Jets lost I knew the memes would be gold and the drama unending. On the other, I reallllyyyy wanted to see Wilson suck for the cathartic release after the last 2 years.

Thats both hilarious and genius. Hezbollah is not popular in Lebanon, but they control the money and weapons. By telling the entire world where they are storing their money that gives the Lebanese military a chance to raid it, or even for citizens to go raid the bank. This follows the IDF strategically targeting Hezbollah banks and finance centers in the last 48 hours. After decapitating Hezbollah the IDF are working to take out one of the last remaining pillars of their strength, finances. Take that out and the entire thing collapses.

Actions speak louder than words, or in politics actions speak louder than polls. There is more evidence that the top of the ticket is starting to impact down-ballot races in the swing states. Normally when running ads you embrace the candidate at the top of your ticket and say you will support them. Something else is starting to happen though. In these tough swing states Democrat candidates are now running ads touting how they have worked, and supported, Trump and Trumps policies. You don't do that if you think your candidate is pulling away in the race. Candidates are seeing something in their internal polls that has them worried that Harris will pull them down and cost their own seats. Republican candidates tried the same thing during the 2018 mid-terms and 2020 nationals when Biden was on the ticket. They knew that the top of the ticket was an anchor so they tried to abandon ship. It didnt work for them. It might work for Democrats in some of these swing states, but it also could mean there is a true cascade happening that gives the GOP more wins than expected. Theres going to be a surprise somewhere in here on election day, its just a question of where.

Team Joy really is having a hard time with this McDonalds thing. Never seen such a large number of people get triggered by a campaign stunt before.

While there's a lot of focus on the Presidential race, the Senate races are just as important. And just like the Presidential race, the GOP look good in their Senate races. All they need to do is win 1 seat to flip the Senate if they win the WH, 2 if they want to win it outright. Right now, the GOP are poised to pick up 2 seats. West Virginia is absolutely going to flip to the GOP, not even worth paying attention there. Montana is where the GOP look to get their 2nd pickup. Tester has survived a lot of close races, but this one looks like hes done. Sheehy has a 7 point lead in the RCP averages, and has led in every poll since June. Ohio is also a potential GOP pickup as well. That race is only separated by 0.5% in the RCP polls. A big GOP turnout in the Presidential election may be enough to bring Moreno over the finish line and give the GOP another pickup. PA, WI, and MI are all also tightening up as the races come to the finish line. A GOP win at the top of the ticket might pull a Senate win for them as well. Nevada is a long shot for the GOP, but there has been some clear momentum there for the GOP in recent weeks. Polling has tightened up, but Democrats still hold a 6 point lead. Probably enough to hold that seat, but may be one that produces a surprise on election day if trends continue. As good as the map looks for the GOP, the Democrats are in the exact opposite spot. There are no chances for a pickup this year. They are hilariously putting resources into Texas and Florida, only for the usual Lucy with the Football result. Neither state is particularly close and at no point in these races have the polls been even within the MoE. They are solidly Republican states, and the Senate results will end up that way.

Its beautiful