Raptorpat

They're still contesting the NC court seat that the Dem incumbent won in November

republicans won this though

MEANWHILE IN THE HOUSE https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5226248-house-cancels-votes-gop-rebellion/

how about this then

This is the House, so the seats are up every two years. The takeaway though is that the Republicans are horrendously underperforming in specials by like over 15 points, meaning anything they won be less than 15 points is at risk prior to the midterms. I would assume, all things equal, that they won't perform as poorly in the actual midterms but it's still a terrible data point for that party for the next year and 7 months until then. It's gonna yo-yo back and forth as random counties' results are added in. Saw that Milwaukee is telling people to stay in line while they can print more ballots, so that won't even be counted until the end. Best to just check in in a couple hours, unless you just drip feed off the tension.

FL repubs were sounding the alarm and the national party jumped in at the last minute

Their standard 30-point margins were cut in half:

here's the link https://www.senate.gov/legislative/floor_activity_pail.htm he just beat the strom thurmond record so it won't be much longer

yeah martyring this guy seems like a brilliant idea

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/01/us/politics/maryland-man-deportation-error-el-salvador.html

Biden was president tho

https://www.newsweek.com/louisiana-voters-jeff-landry-constitutional-amendments-2052722

we haven't talked about it since last time this issue came up last Trump term and it wasn't a super serious/in-depth Convo but at the time KN wasn't going to host the site if he was liable for anything anyone said ever

if section 230 goes, so too goes us

How long until they actually say the title of the game on sale, because they know the title won't draw eyeballs

This is an absolute fucking disaster https://www.npr.org/2025/03/28/nx-s1-5343963/trump-firings-board-members-appeals-court

The article I need had Ron DeSantis pre-emptive blaming "candidate quality" and I think I saw a headline that Trump is going all in down there, presumably because they're afraid.

Trump pulls the Stefanik nomination to UN because their House margin is too narrow to lose the seat https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5217864-white-house-withdraws-stefanik-uno/

hmmm screen cap if it happens again, and anyone else corroborate if it happens to you too

The demographic shifts between the parties has led to (post-2016) the highest propensity voters being Democrats. I'd expect Dems to continue blowing Rs out of the water in specials and in the 2025 elections, but I think the realities of gerrymandering and partisan averages will blunt any potential waves in the actual 2026 elections (that being said, they only need to flip like three seats in the house so idk). This of course is all predicated on elections remaining largely the same as they are now.

News is happening so best to create a thread now rather than splice one down the road. Election content for the 2025-26 cycle goes here. I've dropped in a bunch of things that literally happened in the past day to jumpstart the thread: Election Administration 3/25/25 White House Executive Order usurps Congress attempting to abrogate state control of elections Utah Gov. Cox signs away the state’s popular universal vote-by-mail election system, requiring opting in Kansas lawmakers voted to place a referendum on the August 2026 primary ballot to replace merit-appointment/retention elections with open partisan elections for the Kansas Supreme Court Recent Elections Democrats in Pa. Senate upset took inspiration from an Iowa special election campaign Democrat wins Pennsylvania special election, handing party control of state House Upcoming Elections Elon Musk dumping millions into trying to flip the Wisconsin Supreme Court, because some states think electing judges is a good idea ‘A lot closer than people expected’: GOP worries, Dem cash dominate tense Florida special election