Raptorpat

I assume you're asking because Nate Silver was in the vanguard of the "Joe's too old" brigade?

I think he's trying to thread the needle real hard https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-lauds-harris-saying-vp-could-be-us-president-2024-7

@Azalar Hex tell your cat happy birthday

what the fuck did I just read

Probably trying to lock in flipping Sherrod Brown's seat with home state turnout.

She hadn't been talked about in weeks, and once I saw she had a speaking slot I knew she was officially out of the running.

https://x.com/justinbaragona/status/1812860696415084897

I can't imagine the Fox pulling foxy five or whatever their big commentary shows are from their lineup

https://x.com/MELANIATRUMP/status/1812492817068945437

these were anti-zeni people who tracked him here the amanda one is, idk who the other name is

yes, and the jumbling was in the first answer this will probably salvage his candidacy in the near term, but it won't kill the narrative

the teleprompter speech seemed wholly adequate. his first Q&A he jumbled his words about picking his VP running against Trump and referred to Kamala as "Vice President Trump" the rest of his answers seem adequate so far. my general thought is that this isn't moving the needle in either direction. he's showing he's not out of it, but he's also showing the occasional trip-up that underpins the accusations.

"any moment" has been literally an hour so far edit: starting now

big boy press conference in less than ten minutes ???

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520

idk how to believe Tester and Sherrod Brown don't know how to win elections

i definitely had no idea what you were replying to for a hot second

I don't think there's a lot of vote flipping between the two so much as people will just not show up, or vote third party. I hate to make the comparison, but like the Roy Moore or Todd Akin races.

IF the election is purely a referendum on Trump, which as of the past two weeks it hasn't been. And it can't be if Biden cannot dispell the optics. That's my general thought process right now. It's not really just a question of arguing "yeah you're moderately disappointed in him but at least he is competent and not a fascist" anymore.

Devil's Advocate: before even getting to the question of age/competency, he's been underwater since the Afghanistan pullout and consistently hammered on inflation regardless of whether either is his fault, and as the electoral baseline he only won in 2020 by about 45k votes.

I think the closest example is Eagleton getting replaced on the VP line after the convention in 1972.