Poof

I hope you're right Scoob

It still works where you posted it

I have to go back and edit this bc I missed that Azerbaijan just allied with Russia. https://eurasianet.org/ahead-of-ukraine-invasion-azerbaijan-and-russia-cement-alliance Azerbaijan is the land route between russia and Iran, btw...

Again, they just finalized the deal on the new pipeline during the debut of this war. China isn't condemning the invasion. What more do you want? Also I'm talking about this alliance being formed over decades and decades. Like boiling the frog slowly. If they turn the heat up too fast the frog gets mad, sends sanctions and the CIA. This invasion satisfies all the objectives I've been talking about. It expands CSTO, it fucks with us economically (this will probably induce a recession), it further divides europe and asia, brings together the asian countries. The case that he makes to everyone in asia is that no one is safe from the west until they all band together. It's true too. Letting his country get sanctioned proves that you can't do what you want. You have to listen to the west. The west gets to invade whoever they want, but if you do the exact same thing, you'll be punished. And you need to think of the economic damage as the payment for buying Ukraine, if the invasion is successful...

Putin wants to oppose NATO, it's the only thing he cares about. He considers Russia's best interest and opposing NATO to be synonymous. Building a Eurasian alliance is the only way to oppose NATO. I couldn't imagine anything else he could do that would work. That's why he's always needed China. He / Russia don't HAVE to do it, but to pursue their interest of standing up to NATO, yes they need China. Therefor he needs and has always needed China.

Which south american countries? The ones that routinely break our sanctions with Iran? You're right that he depends on China for any hope of success. You're wrong to assume the dependency began now. It's always been that way, and that's why what his interests are what they are. That's why he has to do things this way, and that's why I think the invasion is net positive, not an error.

How cheap do you think you could buy natural resources from a blacklisted nation if you were the only real buyer? It's symbiotic. What are the financial responsibilities? You're right China and Iran do run their own spheres of influence. It doesn't matter if it ends up being Iran and China joining the CSTO, or if China and Iran start regional alliances of their own, then all 3 regional alliances join together. The particulars don't matter. The western bloc I put together is an intertwining of different alliances too. It's not all NATO. And Putin is aware of what China joining the CSTO or this hypothetical coalition means. He knows he won't be king of asia. He knows if he tried to, it wouldn't work. Not in the 20ish possible years he has left to live. He is realistic in his goals I think.

It's not carrying. It's just trade and economic cooperation. At this point it's still just a potential alliance. It's absolutely Putin's objective to expand CSTO tho. And I think he's just done a really good job at bringing everyone together over the years. So much so that I think one day very far in the future(long after he's dead) his alliance will include china and iran. Like.... I think the only ones that might have to be hostile takeovers beyond ukraine would be, moldova, georgia, turkmenistan. I don't think he can scalp any of the interior non-nato states like not even Serbia. But if he could get iran to join, all those countries in the iranian sphere of influence would eventually join too I think (afghanistan idk but putin is interested). I don't think there could be ideological resistance to Russia and Iran both trying to get you to come onboard. Mongolia is a similar case. If China goes, mongolia will too. Is it all so far fetched?

Cold War 2 goes like... China, North Korea, Iran, and Russia are united in their dislike of the NATO hegemony. They can't fight us bc as the graphic I posted before shows: We pretty much are the world order. Even together, they couldn't take us on at this time. So China focuses on growing, funding, trading, and avoiding direct conflict w/us. If it did otherwise, we would destroy their $64 trillion economy. It's Iran, North Korea, and Russia's job to harass and impede our interests, influence, and economic growth. Secondarily they also keep large armies / nukes. They do these things and absorb the sanctions we put on them for it, leaving China relatively free to trade and grow. It's a very long term strategy. This isn't me demonizing these countries either. It's not only smart, it's the only way to compete against us, and they can pursue this strategy without ever seeking WW3. I'm not saying they're evil or want to kill us all or anything.

god i hate how the american public gets at the beginning of wars. It's all mindless team americaing. Maybe WE are the ones stuck in the past

no we aren't. Russia china and mongolia just made a fuckin deal on natural gas. Russia wants to separate the west and east. We're playing into his hands. Youll see

On the contrary... at the beginning I thought it wasn't about invading europe. Now I don't even think he actually cares about taking ukraine at all. I think he's showing the asian countries who are hesitant to join his alliance what happens when you go against the West even if you're not attacking anyone actually in an alliance with them (demonstrating the double standard) whilst also trying to exacerbate our inflation and economic problems(since he knows we're about to raise our rates). I think we dun fucked up a lot bigger than originally thought actually.

haha https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-28/gazprom-paves-way-to-new-china-gas-deal-as-sanctions-hit-russia

four does seem a bit much but i unno

It sounds like you know what you're doing, but it could backfire completely. You could go and suffer paris syndrome if it doesn't live up to the hype. You could go through a long period of feeling disappointed in japan and possibly really lonely for a lot or even most of the trip. Personally I've never left the country except canada and mexico, and Idk if I'd go anywhere that far away alone. I would worry about you camping on your own in a foreign country even Japan.

There's actually a 4th individual involved in my case too. A cis male. He's not and wasn't in the running for being in the prototype poly-relationship nor did he want to be I don't think... but he's still very influential to the series of events... It's very complicated. But none of it was too much for me. Like now I think I can actually say for sure that I would pursue a poly relationship if I met the right people

We’re the masters of war on this planet. If we actually want someone to win, it’s an incredible advantage. And we have the global dominance advantage. Like all the NATO countries get to tweet out how many bombs they’re giving Ukraine but when it’s a proxy war the other way around the other side has to be super sneaky about assisting anyone fighting us. In addition to those nukes, Russia’s strength these days is cyber, psyops stuff, and we bested Putin in that by making his false flag look like a joke which means everyone can support Ukraine all they want. And I wonder how badly Putin is committed to it. Like are these his best tanks and planes that are attacking? Or is it old stuff that needed to be overhauled so he’s like ehhhh I’ll just use them instead? Supposedly all the small arms he was giving to the Ukrainian pro-Russian rebels were 4th rate and rusty and there were many complaints. Like is it Putin’s spring-cleaning war? Then again I did say his aircraft carrier doesn’t even work which is true. I believe our intelligence guys specifically said that his carrier “was more of a danger to its users than anyone” So maybe all his junk is rusty

They can get there over the Baltic Sea from st petersburg tho

The starpower was precisely why I thought it would be so lucrative to short it. Most of the low budgets I shorted traded below $5. Not much room for the price to fall since most films can still manage a couple million in box office. Like I'd short 5-10 low budgets at a time and make money off the price going down like $0.40. Kings Speech was always trading above its budget at $15-18. I felt its budget was too ambitious for what sounded to me like and unrelatable intellectual movie. Like a stuffy period piece about some royale with a stutter? Who would even care about that? So I was like OK this is the same type of movie I short all the time except the filmmakers managed to get alil more money than usual. It might go down $10. But yes I was wrong as it rocketed up over $100. I certainly had no idea it was an underdog story either.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hollywood_Stock_Exchange I used to play this. I'll never forget how much play money I lost on shorting The King's Speech. It had a $15 million budget. Each $1 on the exchange represents $1 million in box office. When I shorted The King's Speech it was trading around $17-18, so people expected it to barely beat its budget. I had a habit of shorting low budget movies that I thought were too boring or low concept. It was actually my most effective strategy and made me the most money(again, not real money). I thought I had a steal since I thought it would bomb and they wouldn't even break even. Then it is an immediate hit, makes like $140 million in the USA and goes on to make $400 million internationally. The King's Speech annihilated me

translated from https://47news.ru/articles/208119/

Since you never elaborated, if he dies as a result of Russia taking Kyiv then it would be the beginning of regime change. There would be a ukrainian government in exile/underground somewhere that still claims legitimacy but without control. And Russia would begin installing its own leadership. If he just gets hit by a bomb or assassinated but Russia doesn't take Kyiv, then whoever is vice president gets to step up. Either way since he's being so badass his death will probably just inspire ukrainians to fight harder.

Today Germany sent 1000 anti-tank weapons and 500 stingers. The netherlands, Czech Republic, and portugal also declared deliveries today. The netherlands' included 200 stingers. Ukraine has and is getting anti air and anti tank delivered. Russia also accused the USA of using our CIA drones and other surveillance to scout for the ukrainians.

the real heir-apparent to Harvey Firestone was the 3rd bachelor in ABC's The Bachelor and also appeared in Flavor of Love Girls: Charm School