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Everything posted by Icarus27k
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All 34 counts are supposedly felonies, says this anonymous source. We'll see. https://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-trump-to-be-charged-tuesday-with-34-felony-counts-but-spared-handcuffs-and-mug-shot-001241750.html
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Elon Musk now owns Twitter, apparently trying to run it into the ground
Icarus27k replied to Jman's topic in Current Events
"compounding technological issues and the lack of a cohesive business model" kind of describes Musk's version of Twitter. -
Elon Musk now owns Twitter, apparently trying to run it into the ground
Icarus27k replied to Jman's topic in Current Events
He was a brief, controversial CEO of the online bank that would eventually become PayPal until it was sold to eBay in 2002 and he made a butt load of money off the sale. -
This case is really about a man who habitually commits fraud in his business and feels he can just lie on business records whenever he wants. For his own personal benefit. This sounds like a strong case.
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This is Trump's own U.S. Department of Justice summarizing the 2018 federal case against Michael Cohen: Trump, in 2016, conspired with Cohen to shut up someone who had an allegation against him, knowing full well he was trying to preserve his chances of getting elected. This definitely means the payments were campaign contributions, legally defined, and Trump understood that.
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This is a quote from a Washington Post editorial and it's factually false. The felony falsifying records charge that Trump is probably going to get charged with has been successfully prosecuted by New York dozens of times. Perhaps the skepticism the Post is expressing hinges on the defendant being a presidential candidate, but that doesn't matter for one second. No one is above the law, and it doesn't matter if falsifying records is done by an average citizen or a candidate.
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The quickest way to get Greene out of GA-14 might be to convince her to run for higher office. And fail of course
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Marjorie Taylor Greene calls for protests in New York after Trump indictment The Georgia GOP congresswoman and Trump loyalist is reversing course after saying two weeks ago she and other Trump backers should not protest his indictment. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna77594 First of all, I apologize to NYC. Secondly, can she stay there and away from Georgia?
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So he says. We'll fact check that with the next FEC filings.
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2024 Presidential Elections: the schadenfreude commences
Icarus27k replied to NewBluntsworth's topic in Current Events
Trump has cost the Republicans three elections in a row (2022, 2020 and 2018). That was before he went on criminal trial. Americans have made clear how much they hate Trump over years. -
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Did you hear the story about how the Trump campaign financially ruined some of his supporters because they signed them up for automatic donations in the 2020 campaign cycle. So you have things like Republican senior citizens who donated all their Social Security benefits to Trump for months without them realizing it.
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Why I think Trump may plead guilty in the New York case: if somebody truthfully explains to Trump his options, he may conclude that's the path of least resistance. Trump could: 1. Strike a plea deal with Bragg, maybe a good one that involves pleading guilty only to misdemeanors and getting a light sentence perhaps with no jail time. Serve it and continue campaigning for president. 2. Fight the charges, at first doing his traditional "stalling the legal process" tricks, eventually going to trial which he has a good chance of losing and then losing all his appeals. This would take a year and a half of America talking about nothing but this trial and every moderate voter listening to this for a year and half. And of course, the chance of prison goes up exponentially in this scenario. If that's explained to Trump by some lawyer, I posit Trump will take path #1.
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2024 Presidential Elections: the schadenfreude commences
Icarus27k replied to NewBluntsworth's topic in Current Events
If the GOP continues to be the "let's just troll everyone" party, that's not sustainable. We'll be talking about the former Republican Party in a decade if so. If they have any hope of salvaging themselves, they should shape up and become serious again. -
2024 Presidential Elections: the schadenfreude commences
Icarus27k replied to NewBluntsworth's topic in Current Events
Will Trump be the GOP nominee? I'm not so sure. Criminal trials in a few different jurisdictions (New York, Georgia, the federal government) might be what it takes to break Trump Fever. If it doesn't, the Republicans are going to lose all up and down the ballot in the 2024 general election. -
Another Trump defense that I think can be dismissed is the attack on Micheal Cohen's credibility. Cohen is a criminal, but criminals are often witnesses in criminal trials. Their credibility is always attacked by the defense but usually courts see through that. No doubt the D.A. has documentary evidence to back up much, if not all, relevant facts that Cohen alleges. And, of course, Cohen worked for Trump and they had a relationship for a really long time. An attack on Cohen could be indirectly an attack on Trump. "He's a horrible person and you just didn't know about it despite your closeness for all that time?"
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2024 Presidential Elections: the schadenfreude commences
Icarus27k replied to NewBluntsworth's topic in Current Events
Oh no, there's a 2024 one? -
This particular pro-Russia online guy is pretty competent at explaining specific battles and weapons, but he lets his Russophilia out sometimes and starts taking geopolitics. (Russia is unbeatable, the future is bright for Russia, it's Russia's century, blah blah blah). And then I'm like, "no, absolutely not".
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Me to a pro-Russia internet guy explaining the 10-month-long battle for Bakhmut. These guys have this doctrine that Russia is strong, unbeatable even, it's all going to plan. I personally think the reason Russia missile strikes electric infrastructure is because they are not capable of hitting much of anything else, as an example. You got to puncture that "Russia is great" article of faith they have.
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I regret that I didn't come here for the 2020 election thread.
Icarus27k replied to Icarus27k's topic in General Discussion
Spring of 2020, I think I was much more concerned with protesting Trump and processing the COVID-19 outbreak to form an opinion about the primaries.