Jump to content
UnevenEdge

Math Monday


Kudasai

Recommended Posts

For the record, if we take the stated propositions (that the default odds for two contestants are 50/50 (i.e. Samoa Joe v. Kurt Angle); that that the odds for Samoa Joe v. Scott Steiner are 25/75; that the odds for Kurt Angle v. Scott Steiner are 0/100; that Kurt Angle and Scott Steiner will not resolve their contest first) as given, the probabilities for a victory are as follows:

Kurt Angle - 6.25%
Samoa Joe - 12.5%
Scott Steiner - 81.25%

Assuming that there is an equal likelihood between the remaining two options for first match-up. Note that this does not affect Samoa Joe's chances, only Kurt Angle's and Scott Steiner's. From a game theory perspective, this is a poor assumption, as Kurt Angle will have a much higher preference for avoiding the first resolution than Scott Steiner. We are unsure how to quantify this as it chiefly varies with Kurt Angle's awareness of this phenomenon. It is likely that he would be cognizant of it, but We presume his specialty lies not in statistics but geometry.
Fun fact: when working out the figures, We abbreviated his name using the ∠ symbol.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...